SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
November 5th, 2009
This week features a matchup that no one thought would be the can't miss game in week 9. Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts. The 7-0 Colts, who didn't look all that good last week against the San Francisco 49ers, play host to the red-hot Texans. The 12 victories between the two teams are the most for any game this week, including Steelers-Broncos (11) and Cowboys-Eagles (10). So if the Colts win, the division race is over, if the Texans can pull the upset, they can move to within two games with one in hand against the leaders. The Texans lead the NFL in passing yards, while the Colts are second so expect an aerial assault that should be a ton of fun to watch as well.
Parity is back and there were numerous upsets last week, and we paid for it with a horrendous 6-7 straight up, and 5-8 ATS bringing our year to date record to a still respectable 67-33 straight up and 60-40 ATS.
As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 9 Record:
7-6 Straight Up / 5-8 ATS (-$350.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
74-39 (65.49%) Straight Up / 65-48 (57.52%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$850.00
4 Year Running Record:
560-322 (63.50%) Straight Up / 487-395 (55.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5327.50
This weeks games:
Byes: Bills, Jets, Browns, Raiders, Vikings, Rams
NFL Week 9 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov. 08 | 1 p.m. |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars << |
19.932 16.468 |
|
19.932 16.468 |
JAC -3.464 |
JAC -7 |
KAN | 21 24 |
| 1 p.m. |
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts << |
10.284 2.147 |
-2 |
10.284 0.147 |
IND -10.137 |
IND -8.5 |
IND | 17 20 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals << |
5.263 6.121 |
-2 |
5.263 4.121 |
CIN -1.142 |
CIN +3 |
CIN | 7 17 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots << |
11.563 2.389 |
-2 |
11.563 0.389 |
NWE 11.174 |
NWE -10.5 |
NWE | 17 27 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers << |
7.100 22.558 |
7.100 22.558 |
GNB -15.458 |
TAM +9.5 |
GNB | 28 38 |
||
| 1 p.m. |
Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons << |
17.021 9.005 |
-2 |
17.021 7.005 |
ATL -10.016 |
ATL -10 |
ATL | 17 31 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Arizona Cardinals
<< @ Chicago Bears |
11.758 11.411 |
-2 |
11.758 9.411 |
CHI -2.347 |
CHI -3 |
ARI | 41 21 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints << |
15.921 2.211 |
-2 |
15.921 0.211 |
NWO -15.710 |
NWO -13 |
NWO | 20 30 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Detroit Lions @ Seattle Seahawks << |
20.195 14.916 |
20.195 14.916 |
SEA -5.279 |
SEA -10.5 |
DET | 20 32 |
||
| 4:15 p.m. |
Tennessee Titans
<< @ San Francisco 49ers |
19.458 12.579 |
|
19.458 12.579 |
SFO -6.879 |
SFO -4 |
SFO | 34 27 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
San Diego Chargers
<< @ New York Giants |
10.384 9.826 |
-2 |
10.384 7.826 |
NYG -2.558 |
NYG -4.5 |
NYG | 21 20 |
|
| 8:20 p.m. |
Dallas Cowboys
<< @ Philadelphia Eagles |
7.368 6.789 |
-2 |
7.368 4.789 |
PHI -2.579 |
PHI -3 |
DAL | 28 20 |
|
| Mon, Nov. 09 | 8:30 p.m. |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos |
6.126 3.486 |
-1 |
6.126 2.486 |
DEN -3.640 |
DEN +3 |
DEN | 28 10 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 9 Record:
7-6 Straight Up / 5-8 ATS (-$350.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
74-39 (65.49%) Straight Up / 65-48 (57.52%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$850.00
4 Year Running Record:
560-322 (63.50%) Straight Up / 487-395 (55.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5327.50
Week 8 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
-$350.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-----------------
Net +$850.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
