SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
October 30th, 2009
This .
Parity is back, and we paid for it last week with a horrendous 6-7 straight up, and 5-8 ATS bringing our year to date record to a still respectable 67-33 straight up and 60-40 ATS.
The predictor has a lot of games close to the spread line this week, so it may be a good week to play teasers or buy half points. It could also be a great week to parlay some underdogs. Our favorite parlay this week is DEN+160, MIN+160,STL+180, JAC+145 and NYG+110 that 5 team parlay on a ten dollar bet pays 963.00 and those are all winnable games. We will play this in combinations as well with MIN, NYG, and DEN especially heavy as underdogs.
As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 8 Record:
6-7 Straight Up / 5-8 ATS (-$350.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
67-33 (67.00%) Straight Up / 60-40 (60.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1200.00
4 Year Running Record:
553-316 (63.64%) Straight Up / 482-387 (55.47%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5677.50
This weeks games:
Byes: Patriots, Bengals, Steelers, Chiefs, Redskins, Buccaneers
NFL Week 8 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov. 01 | 1 p.m. |
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens |
1.979 8.089 |
-2 |
1.979 6.089 |
DEN -4.110 |
BAL -3 |
DEN | 7 30 |
| 1 p.m. |
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets |
12.068 8.384 |
-1 |
12.068 7.384 |
NYJ -4.864 |
NYJ -3 |
NYJ | 30 25 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Houston Texans @ Buffalo Bills |
11.737 15.416 |
|
11.737 15.416 |
HOU -3.679 |
BUF +3.5 |
HOU | 31 10 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts |
12.500 1.779 |
-2 |
12.500 -0.221 |
IND -12.721 |
IND -12.5 |
IND | 14 18 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Cleveland Browns @ Chicago Bears |
20.274 13.105 |
-2 |
20.274 11.105 |
CHI -9.169 |
CHI -14 |
CLE | 6 30 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers |
5.605 5.653 |
-2 |
5.605 3.653 |
GNB -1.952 |
GNB -3 |
MIN |
38 26 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions |
22.953 18.974 |
-1 |
22.953 17.974 |
DET -4.979 |
DET -4 |
DET | 17 10 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys |
13.432 8.811 |
+2 -3 |
15.432 5.811 |
DAL -9.621 |
DAL -9.5 |
DAL | 17 38 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans |
14.921 21.263 |
-1 |
14.921 20.263 |
JAC -5.342 |
TEN -3 |
JAC | 13 30 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Oakland Raiders @ San Diego Chargers |
20.111 10.726 |
-2 |
20.111 8.726 |
SDG -11.385 |
SDG -17 |
OAK | 16 24 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals |
17.800 7.221 |
-1 |
17.800 6.221 |
ARI -11.579 |
ARI -10 |
ARI | 34 21 |
|
| 1:00 p.m. |
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles |
6.916 8.921 |
-1 |
6.916 7.921 |
NYG -1.005 |
PHI +1 |
NYG | 17 40 |
|
| Mon, Nov. 02 | 8:30 p.m. |
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints |
8.842 1.905 |
-3 |
8.842 -1.095 |
NWO -9.937 |
NWO -10.5 |
ATL | 27 35 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 8 Record:
6-7 Straight Up / 5-8 ATS (-$350.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
67-33 (67.00%) Straight Up / 60-40 (60.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1200.00
4 Year Running Record:
553-316 (63.64%) Straight Up / 482-387 (55.47%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5677.50
Week 8 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
-$350.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-----------------
Net +$1200.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
