SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
October 23rd, 2009
Last week started to separate some of the pretenders atop the standings. This week a lot of the poorer teams are on bye weeks so that should make for some excellent games. All the unbeaten teams are on the road except for the Broncos who have their bye this week. The Vikings put their unbeaten record on the line in Pittsburgh while the Saints visit Miami to try to stay unbeaten as well. The Colts should have an easier time of it as they visit the St. Louis Rams who showed some signs of life last week.
Week six had some serious upsets and the predictor showed that with a horrible 5-9 ATS record. We feel this was an aberration as our season record still stands at 45-29 ATS even after the horrible week. We know of no one who picked the Raiders to defeat the Eagles, or Buffalo to topple the Jets in NY. Couple that with some seriously good efforts by the Rams, Texans, and Bucs, it just showed that anything can still happen on any Sunday.
As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 7 Record:
11-2 Straight Up / 10-3 ATS
Overall
2009 Record:
61-26 (70.11%) Straight Up / 55-32 (63.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1550.00
4 Year Running Record:
547-309 (63.90%) Straight Up / 477-379 (55.72%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6027.50
This weeks games:
Byes: Ravens, Broncos, Lions, Jaguars, Seahawks, Titans
NFL Week 7 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Pts | Adj | Net Pts | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct. 25 | 1 p.m. |
San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs |
12.421 19.232 |
+2 -2 |
14.421 17.232 |
SDG -2.811 |
KAN +5.5 |
KAN | 37 7 |
| 1 p.m. |
San Francisco 49ers @ Houston Texans |
9.947 12.674 |
+1 -2 |
9.947 9.674 |
HOU -0.273 |
HOU -3 |
SFO | 21 24 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
4.768 7.500 |
-3 |
4.768 4.500 |
PIT -.268 |
PIT -5.5 |
MIN | 17 27 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns |
7.042 19.532 |
+3 |
7.042 22.532 |
GNB -15.490 |
CLE +7 |
GNB | 31 3 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Chicago Bears @ Cincinnati Bengals |
8.726 8.879 |
-2 |
8.726 6.879 |
CIN -1.847 |
CIN -1 |
CIN | 10 45 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
4.960 22.126 |
-1 |
4.960 21.126 |
NWE -16.166 |
TAM +15 |
NWE | 35 7 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Indianapolis Colts @ St. Louis Rams |
1.844 22.558 |
|
1.844 22.558 |
IND -20.714 |
STL +14 |
IND | 42 6 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders |
10.521 19.053 |
-1 |
10.521 18.053 |
NYJ -7.532 |
OAK +6 |
NYJ | 38 0 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers |
16.605 18.000 |
-1 |
16.605 17.000 |
BUF -0.3395 |
CAR -7 |
BUF | 20 9 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins |
1.211 11.147 |
-1 |
1.211 10.147 |
NWO -8.936 |
MIA +6.5 |
NWO | 46 34 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Atlanta Falcons @ Dallas Cowboys |
5.368 10.737 |
-2 |
5.368 8.737 |
ATL -3.369 |
DAL -4 |
ATL | 21 37 |
|
| 8:20 p.m. |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
9.179 5.158 |
-2 |
9.179 3.158 |
NYG -6.021 |
NYG -7.5 |
ARI | 24 17 |
|
| Mon, Oct. 26 | 8:30 p.m. |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins |
8.895 16.716 |
|
8.895 16.716 |
PHI -7.821 |
WAS +7 |
PHI | 27 17 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 7 Record:
11-2 Straight Up / 10-3 ATS
Overall
2009 Record:
61-26 (70.11%) Straight Up / 55-32 (63.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1550.00
4 Year Running Record:
547-309 (63.90%) Straight Up / 477-379 (55.72%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6027.50
Week 6 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
+$600.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650 Wk 6
+600 Wk 7
-----------------
Net +$1550.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends


