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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 7

October 23rd, 2009

  Last week started to separate some of the pretenders atop the standings. This week a lot of the poorer teams are on bye weeks so that should make for some excellent games. All the unbeaten teams are on the road except for the Broncos who have their bye this week. The Vikings put their unbeaten record on the line in Pittsburgh while the Saints visit Miami to try to stay unbeaten as well. The Colts should have an easier time of it as they visit the St. Louis Rams who showed some signs of life last week.

Week six had some serious upsets and the predictor showed that with a horrible 5-9 ATS record. We feel this was an aberration as our season record still stands at 45-29 ATS even after the horrible week. We know of no one who picked the Raiders to defeat the Eagles, or Buffalo to topple the Jets in NY. Couple that with some seriously good efforts by the Rams, Texans, and Bucs, it just showed that anything can still happen on any Sunday.

As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 7 Record:
11-2  Straight Up / 10-3  ATS

Overall 2009 Record:
61-26 (70.11%) Straight Up / 55-32 (63.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1550.00

4 Year Running Record:
547-309 (63.90%) Straight Up / 477-379 (55.72%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6027.50

This weeks games:
Byes: Ravens, Broncos, Lions, Jaguars, Seahawks, Titans

NFL Week 7 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Pts Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Sun, Oct. 25 1 p.m. San Diego Chargers
@ Kansas City Chiefs
12.421
19.232
+2
-2
14.421
17.232
SDG
-2.811
KAN
+5.5
KAN 37
 7
1 p.m. San Francisco 49ers
@ Houston Texans
 9.947
12.674
+1
-2
9.947
9.674
HOU
-0.273
HOU
-3
SFO 21
24
1 p.m. Minnesota Vikings
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
 4.768
 7.500

-3
4.768
4.500
PIT
-.268
PIT
-5.5
MIN 17
27
1 p.m. Green Bay Packers
@ Cleveland Browns
 7.042
19.532 

+3
 7.042
22.532
GNB
-15.490
CLE
+7
GNB 31
 3
1 p.m. Chicago Bears
@ Cincinnati Bengals
 8.726
 8.879

-2
8.726
6.879
CIN
-1.847
CIN
-1
CIN 10
45
1 p.m. New England Patriots
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 4.960
22.126

-1
 4.960
21.126
NWE
-16.166
TAM
+15
NWE 35
 7
1 p.m. Indianapolis Colts
@ St. Louis Rams
 1.844
22.558

 1.844
22.558
IND
-20.714
STL
+14
IND 42
 6
4:05 p.m. New York Jets
@ Oakland Raiders
10.521
19.053

-1
10.521
18.053
NYJ
-7.532
OAK
+6
NYJ 38
 0
4:05 p.m. Buffalo Bills
@ Carolina Panthers
16.605
18.000

-1
16.605
17.000
BUF
-0.3395
CAR
-7
BUF 20
 9
4:15 p.m. New Orleans Saints
@ Miami Dolphins
 1.211
11.147

-1
 1.211
10.147
NWO
-8.936
MIA
+6.5
NWO 46
34
4:15 p.m. Atlanta Falcons
@ Dallas Cowboys
 5.368
10.737

-2
 5.368
 8.737
ATL
-3.369
DAL
-4
ATL 21
37
8:20 p.m. Arizona Cardinals
@ New York Giants
9.179
 5.158

-2
 9.179
 3.158
NYG
-6.021
NYG
-7.5
ARI 24
17
Mon, Oct. 26 8:30 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles
@ Washington Redskins
 8.895
16.716

 8.895
16.716
PHI
-7.821
WAS
+7
PHI 27
17

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 7 Record:
11-2  Straight Up / 10-3  ATS

Overall 2009 Record:
61-26 (70.11%) Straight Up / 55-32 (63.22%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1550.00

4 Year Running Record:
547-309 (63.90%) Straight Up / 477-379 (55.72%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6027.50

Week 6 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

+$600.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650 Wk 6
+600 Wk 7
-----------------
Net +$1550.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends