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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 6

October 19th, 2009

Week six had some serious upsets and the predictor showed that with a horrible 5-9 ATS record. We feel this was an aberration as our season record still stands at 45-29 ATS even after the horrible week. We know of no one who picked the Raiders to defeat the Eagles, or Buffalo to topple the Jets in NY. Couple that with some seriously good efforts by the Rams, Texans, and Bucs, it just showed that anything can still happen on any Sunday.

As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 6 Record:
9-5  Straight Up / 5-9  ATS

Overall 2009 Record:
50-24 (67.57%) Straight Up / 45-29 (60.81%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$950.00

4 Year Running Record:
536-307 (63.58%) Straight Up / 467-376 (55.40%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5427.50

This weeks games:
Byes: Cowboys, Colts, Dolphins, 49ers

NFL Week 6 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Sun, Oct. 18 1 p.m. Cleveland Browns
@ Pittsburgh Steelers <<
19.743
 8.552

-3
19.743
 5.552
PIT
-14.191
PIT
-14
PIT 14
27
1 p.m. Houston Texans <<
@ Cincinnati Bengals
16.000
 7.314

-2
16.000
 5.314
CIN
-10.686
CIN
-5
CIN 28
17
1 p.m. St. Louis Rams
@ Jacksonville Jaguars<<
22.429
16.162

-1
22.429
15.162
JAC
-7.267
JAC
-10
STL 20
23
1 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Minnesota Vikings <<
 6.810
 4.648 

-2
 6.810
 2.648
MIN
-4.162
MIN
-3
MIN 31
33
1 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs <<
@ Washington Redskins
21.390
15.905
-1
+1
20.390
16.905
WAS
-3.485
WAS
-6.5
KAN 14
 6
1 p.m. Carolina Panthers <<
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.076
21.086

-1
18.076
20.086
CAR
-2.010
TAM
+3
TAM 28
21
1 p.m. New York Giants
@ New Orleans Saints <<
2.010
1.929

-2
 2.010
-.081
NWO
-2.091
NWO
-3
NYG 27
48
1 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ Green Bay Packers <<
17.714
10.410

-2
17.714
 8.410
GNB
-9.304
GNB
-14
DET  0
26 
4:05 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles
@ Oakland Raiders <<
 6.281
21.543

+1
 6.281
22.543 
PHI
-16.262
OAK
+14
PHI  9
13 
4:05 p.m. Arizona Cardinals <<
@ Seattle Seahawks
14.295
11.105

-2
14.295
 9.105
SEA
-5.190
SEA
-3
SEA 27
 3
4:15 p.m. Buffalo Bills <<
@ New York Jets
18.800
10.114

-2
18.800
 8.114
NYJ
-10.686
NYJ
-9.5
NYJ 16
13
4:15 p.m. Tennessee Titans
@ New England Patriots <<
16.990
 7.810

-2
16.990
 5.810
NWE
-11.180
NWE
-9
NWE  0
59 
8:20 p.m. Chicago Bears
@ Atlanta Falcons <<
 8.576
 6.876

-2
 8.576
 4.876
ATL
-3.700
ATL
-3
ATL 14
21
Mon, Oct. 19 8:30 p.m. Denver Broncos <<
@ San Diego Chargers
 3.390
13.195

-3
 3.390
10.195 
DEN
6.805
SDG
-3.5
DEN 34
23

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 5 Record:
9-5  Straight Up / 5-9  ATS

Overall 2009 Record:
50-24 (67.57%) Straight Up / 45-29 (60.81%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$950.00

4 Year Running Record:
536-307 (63.58%) Straight Up / 467-376 (55.40%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5427.50

Week 6 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

-$650.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650 Wk6
-----------------
Net +$950.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends