SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
Compiled October 8th, 2009
Week five has some great games, Josh McDaniels gets a chance to continue his miracle ride against his mentor, Bill Belichick. The Colts can deliver the knockout blow at Tennessee, with a loss leaving the Titans at 0-5, and the Colts at 5-0. The Bengals get the chance to show they are for real at Baltimore, and the Jets travel to Miami in what is always a great rivalry game.
After last weeks 12-2 straight up with a dismal 7-7 ATS, our season to date record now stands at a quite good 32-14 straight up and 29-17 ATS for a net of +$910.00 As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 5 Record:
9-5 Straight Up / 11-3 ATS
Overall
2009 Record:
41-19 (68.33%) Straight Up / 40-20 (66.67%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1600.00
4 Year Running Record:
527-302 (63.57%) Straight Up / 462-367 (55.73%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6077.50
This weeks games:
Byes: Bears, Packers, Saints, Chargers
NFL Week 5 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Points | ADJ | Net Points | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct. 11 | 1 p.m. |
Cincinnati Bengals
<< @ Baltimore Ravens |
9.000 5.333 |
-2 |
9.000 3.333 |
BAL -5.667 |
BAL -8.5 |
CIN | 17 14 |
| 1 p.m. |
Cleveland Browns
<< @ Buffalo Bills |
21.006 17.861 |
-1 |
21.006 16.861 |
BUF -4.145 |
BUF -6 |
CLE | 6 3 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Dallas Cowboys
<< @ Kansas City Chiefs |
10.306 19.889 |
-1 |
10.306 18.889 |
DAL -8.583 |
KAN +9 |
KAN | 26 20 OT |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Pittsburgh Steelers
<< @ Detroit Lions |
7.950 17.550 |
-1 |
7.950 16.550 |
PIT -8.600 |
DET +10.5 |
DET | 28 20 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Oakland Raiders @ New York Giants << |
18.861 2.744 |
-2 |
18.861 0.744 |
NYG -18.117 |
NYG -16 |
NYG | 7 44 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers << |
14.306 18.689 |
-2 |
14.306 16.689 |
WAS -2.383 |
CAR -3.5 |
WAS | 17 20 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Minnesota Vikings
<< @ St. Louis Rams |
5.167 21.111 |
-1 |
5.167 20.111 |
MIN -14.944 |
STL +10 |
MIN | 38 10 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Philadelphia Eagles << |
20.689 7.133 |
-2 |
20.689 5.133 |
PHI -15.556 |
PHI -15 |
PHI | 14 33 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Atlanta Falcons
<< @ San Francisco 49ers |
10.839 6.756 |
-2 |
10.839 4.756 |
SFO -6.083 |
SFO -2.5 |
SFO | 45 10 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos << |
5.822 3.994 |
-2 |
5.822 1.994 |
DEN -3.828 |
DEN +3.5 |
DEN | 17 20 OT |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Houston Texans @ Arizona Cardinals << |
14.000 12.228 |
-2 |
14.000 10.228 |
ARI -3.772 |
ARI -5.5 |
HOU | 21 28 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Seattle Seahawks << |
12.058 13.639 |
-2 |
12.058 11.639 |
SEA -0.419 |
PK | SEA | 0 41 |
|
| 8:20 p.m. |
Indianapolis Colts
<< @ Tennessee Titans |
2.583 15.633 |
-1 |
2.583 14.633 |
IND -12.050 |
TEN +4 |
IND | 31 9 |
|
| Mon, Oct. 12 | 8:30 p.m. |
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins << |
5.589 12.389 |
-2 |
5.589 10.389 |
NYJ -4.800 |
MIA +1.5 |
NYJ | 27 31 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 5 Record:
9-5 Straight Up / 11-3 ATS
Overall
2009 Record:
41-19 (68.33%) Straight Up / 40-20 (66.67%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$1600.00
4 Year Running Record:
527-302 (63.57%) Straight Up / 462-367 (55.73%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$6077.50
Week 5 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
+$690.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-----------------
Net +$1600.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
