SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor

2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 5

Compiled October 8th, 2009

Week five has some interesting games,

. Our season to date record now stands at a quite good 32-14 straight up and 29-17 ATS for a net of +$910.00 As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Overall 2009 Record:
32-14 (69.57%) Straight Up / 29-17 (63.04%) ATS

4 Year Running Record:
518-297 (63.56%) Straight Up / 451-364 (55.35%) ATS

This weeks games:
Byes: Cardinals, Falcons, Panthers, Eagles

NFL Week 5 Predictions

Date	Time (ET)		Pts	Adj	Net Pts	Prediction	Spread	ATS Prediction	Results
Sun, Oct. 04	1 p.m.	Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans	18.412 16.924	-2	18.412 14.924	HOU -3.488	HOU -9.5	OAK	6 29
After coming into the season as a dark-horse candidate to win the AFC South and make their first playoff appearance, the Houston Texans are off to a slow start thanks to their inability to stop other teams. Defense hasn't been much of a problem for the Oakland Raiders' opponents so far. The Texans hope their league-worst defense can start to find some answers against one of the NFL's least productive offenses when they host the Raiders on Sunday...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars	14.088 14.294	-2	14.088 12.294	JAC -1.794	JAC +3	JAC	17 37
It took 11 games last season for the Tennessee Titans to lose. Three weeks into this season, that's all they've done. Having already matched their regular-season loss total from 2008, the Titans again try to snap out of the early funk Sunday when they visit the AFC South rival Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee won its first 10 games last year en route to a league-best and franchise record-tying 13-3 finish before a disheartening loss to Baltimore in the divisional round of the playoffs...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns	9.971 22.512	-1	9.971 21.512	CIN -11.541	CLE +6	CIN	23 20
An upset of the reigning Super Bowl champion has the Cincinnati Bengals brimming with confidence. Having Carson Palmer healthy is certainly a big part of that, and facing the lowly Cleveland Browns may only help. The Bengals will try to continue their surprising start Sunday when they visit the Browns, who are hoping to avoid their longest losing streak in nearly 34 years. Palmer engineered a 16-play, 71-yard drive that culminated with an improvised 4-yard touchdown pass to Andre Caldwell with 14 seconds left, giving the Bengals (2-1) a 23-20 win over Pittsburgh last Sunday...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots	3.382  6.535	-2	3.382  4.535	BAL -1.153	NWE -2	BAL	21 27
The second season of having Tom Brady and Bill Belichick on board was the beginning of a dynasty for the New England Patriots. The Baltimore Ravens could be starting one in year two for Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh. As Brady continues to shake off the rust after missing most of the 2008 season, Flacco looks to keep his hot start going Sunday as a pair of Super Bowl contenders square off in Foxborough, Mass. Brady hardly played as a rookie during Belichick's first season as Patriots coach in 2000, but he took over the starting job early in 2001 and led New England (2-1) to the first of three championships in four years...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts	12.294  3.824	+1 -2	13.294  1.824	IND -11.470	IND -10	IND	17 34
Once again facing little pressure in the pocket, Peyton Manning is off to a strong start. The Indianapolis Colts' defense, meanwhile, might have a tougher time getting to Matt Hasselbeck's backup with Dwight Freeney injured. With Manning coming off an outstanding game, the undefeated Colts may be forced to get by without their top pass rusher Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks, who will start Seneca Wallace in place of Hasselbeck for the second straight game...Full Story
	1 p.m.	New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs	2.976 20.053	-1	2.976 19.053	NYG -16.077	KAN +8.5	NYG	27 16
The first two games of the New York Giants' three-game road stretch went well. With a second straight winless opponent up next, New York will look to stay unbeaten before finally heading home. The Giants face the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday in their first game at Arrowhead Stadium in more than eight years. A week after needing a field goal as time expired to win at Dallas, New York (3-0) had little trouble with lowly Tampa Bay last Sunday, rolling to a 24-0 victory...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears	18.159 10.412	-2	18.159  8.412	CHI -9.747	CHI -10	DET	24 48
It's easy to see why many experts compared Matthew Stafford to Jay Cutler prior to April's draft. Both have strong arms, throw well on the run and are similar in stature. There's one attribute that isn't as easily measured: the ability to rebound from early season adversity. Cutler, settling down and making big plays for Chicago after a tough start, looks to lead the Bears to their first NFC North win Sunday as they host Stafford and a Lions team coming off its first victory in 20 games...Full Story
	1 p.m.	Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Washington Redskins	22.147 15.312	-2	22.147 13.312	WAS -8.835	WAS -7	WAS	13 16
The Washington Redskins allowed one team to snap a lengthy losing streak against them last week. They don't want it to happen again. Coming off a loss to a team that hadn't won in more than a year, Washington returns to FedEx Field on Sunday to face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers club that's dropped seven straight. After a chorus of boos reigned on them during a 9-7 home win over St. Louis the week before, the Redskins (1-2) fell 19-14 at Detroit on Sunday...Full Story
	4:05 p.m.	Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins	15.141 16.024	+2	15.141 18.024	BUF -2.883	MIA +2	BUF	10 38
The Miami Dolphins made an improbable run to the AFC East title last year behind Chad Pennington. Earning a second straight division crown will be considerably harder due to a season-ending injury to their quarterback and a winless start. With Pennington finished for the year due to a shoulder injury, the Dolphins will give Chad Henne his first career start when they host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Miami (0-3) went 11-5 last season after finishing 1-15 in 2007, but the Dolphins could be in for another long year...Full Story
	4:05 p.m.	New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints	5.024  2.006	-2	5.024  0.006	NWO -5.018	NWO -7	NYJ	10 24
Mark Sanchez has done everything asked of him en route to being the first rookie quarterback to start a season 3-0. The New York Jets, though, may need even more from Sanchez as their defense faces their sternest challenge to date Sunday against the high-powered New Orleans Saints, who also carry a perfect record into this game. The decision to trade up in the draft to select Sanchez fifth overall has paid immediate dividends for the Jets, off to their best start since 2004...Full Story
	4:15 p.m.	Dallas Cowboys @ Denver Broncos	9.853  5.029	-2	9.853  3.029	DEN -6.824	DEN +3	DEN	10 17
Josh McDaniels is looking smart after stockpiling running backs for the Denver Broncos. The Dallas Cowboys, meanwhile, probably wish they had a little more depth at that position. The undefeated Broncos and their first-year coach, led by a relentless running game and a ball-control offense, host a Cowboys team that could be without Marion Barber and Felix Jones on Sunday. McDaniels' tenure with Denver (3-0) got off to a rough start after he alienated Pro Bowl quarterback Jay Cutler and eventually traded him to Chicago for Kyle Orton...Full Story
	4:15 p.m.	St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers	22.288  9.147	-2	22.288  7.147	SFO -15.141	SFO -9.5	SFO	0 35
The San Francisco 49ers blew a chance to match their best start in 11 years last week. They'll look to put the disappointment behind them when they face a banged-up Rams team that has lost 13 in a row. San Francisco looks to bounce back from its first loss when it hosts woeful St. Louis on Sunday. San Francisco was denied its first 3-0 start since 1998 in heartbreaking fashion last week. Leading 24-20 with 89 seconds left, the 49ers could not contain the Vikings' Brett Favre, who directed an 80-yard scoring drive that was capped by his 32-yard touchdown pass with two seconds remaining...Full Story
	8:20 p.m.	San Diego Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers	9.135  9.688	+1 -2	10.135  7.688	PIT -2.447	PIT -7	SDG	28 38
The road hasn't been kind to the Pittsburgh Steelers this season. Maybe a return to Heinz Field will help. Pittsburgh tries to avoid its first three-game losing streak in three seasons Sunday night when it looks to maintain its home-field dominance over the San Diego Chargers. Coming off three-point losses at Chicago and Cincinnati, the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers (1-2) are off to their worst start since 2006, when they opened 1-3 and finished 8-8...Full Story
Mon, Oct. 05	8:30 p.m.	Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings	10.471  5.376	-2	10.471  3.376	MIN -7.095	MIN -3	MIN	23 30
The Minnesota Vikings and their fans spent 16 years growing to despise Brett Favre, more often that not coming out on the losing end against the NFL's all-time leading passer. The Green Bay Packers finally get their turn Monday night - with a year of acrimony already under their belts. In a reunion fit for prime time, Favre faces the Packers for the first time since his bitter divorce from one of football's most storied franchises, with the future Hall of Famer now trying to lead the rival Vikings to their first 4-0 start since 2003...Full Story

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Overall 2009 Record:
32-14 (69.57%) Straight Up / 29-17 (63.04%) ATS

Week 4 Record

12-2 Straight Up 7-7 ATS

Week 4 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

-$70.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.300 Wk 4
-----------------
Net +$910.00

4 Year Running Record:

518-297 (63.56%) Straight Up / 451-364 (55.35%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5387.50

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Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends