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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 17

December 31st, 2009

While the NFC playoff field is set, with only positioning to be resolved, the AFC race is a mess. Seven of the conference's teams enter the final week with a chance at two wild card slots.- Five have 8-7 records, two stand at 7-8. There will be plenty at stake, in both conferences, in Week 17. We foresee a lot of great games, and some that will make you cringe if you bet on them, so this is a week we always recommend that you are very careful when betting teams with nothing to gain.

 

Last week we were 8-8 straight up, and 10-6 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 145-79 straight up and 123-101 ATS.

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 17 Record:
8-8  Straight Up / 9-7  ATS (+$110.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
Regular Season
153-87 (63.75%) Straight Up / 132-108 (55.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$880.00

4 Year Running Record:
639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 17 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Pick Spread ATS Pick Results
Sun, Jan. 03, 2010 1 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars
@ Cleveland Browns
12.81
19.62

-1
12.81
18.62
JAC CLE
-1
JAC 17
23
1 p.m. New England Patriots
@ Houston Texans
3.35
10.02

-3
3.35
7.02
NWE HOU
-8
NWE 27
34
1 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers
@ Miami Dolphins
9.98
10.69

-1
9.98
9.69
MIA MIA
+3
MIA 30
24
1 p.m. San Francisco 49ers
@ St. Louis Rams
11.88
22.11

-1
11.88
21.11
SFO STL
+7
SFO 28
6
1 p.m. Atlanta Falcons
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10.82
18.89

-1
10.82
17.89
ATL TAM
+2
ATL 20
10
1 p.m. New Orleans Saints
@ Carolina Panthers
2.51
11.94

-1
2.51
10.61
NWO PK NWO 23
10
1 p.m. Chicago Bears
@ Detroit Lions
16.13
21.62

-1
16.13
20.62
CHI DET
+3
CHI 37
23
1 p.m. Indianapolis Colts
@ Buffalo Bills
1.40
15.15
+10
-2
11.40
13.15
IND BUF
-8.5
BUF 7
30
1 p.m. New York Giants
@ Minnesota Vikings
7.75
3.95

-1
7.75
2.95
MIN MIN
-9
NYG 7
44
4:15 p.m. Green Bay Packers
@ Arizona Cardinals
4.75
8.29

-1
4.75
7.29
GNB ARI
-3.5
GNB 33
7
4:15 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs
@ Denver Broncos
19.44
7.47

-1
19.44
6.47
DEN DEN
-13
KAN 44
24
4:15 p.m. Washington Redskins
@ San Diego Chargers
15.79
3.69

-2
15.79
1.69
SDG SDG
-3.5
SDG 23
20
4:15 p.m. Tennessee Titans
@ Seattle Seahawks
11.17
16.93

-1
11.17
15.93
TEN SEA
+3.5
TEN 17
13
4:15 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Oakland Raiders
5.16
17.43

-1
5.16
16.43
BAL OAK
+10.5
BAL 21
13
  4:15 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles
@ Dallas Cowboys
3.48
5.23

-1
3.48
4.23
PHI DAL
-3
PHI 0
24
  8:20 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals
@ New York Jets
6.56
8.66

-2
6.56
6.66
CIN NYJ
-10
NYJ 0
37

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie. (we play half points when possible)

Week 17 Record:
8-8  Straight Up / 9-7  ATS (+$110.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
Regular Season
153-87 (63.75%) Straight Up / 132-108 (55.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$880.00

4 Year Running Record:
639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50

Week 17 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

+$110.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-$270.00 Wk 13
-$270.00 Wk 14
+$300.00 Wk 15
+$300.00 Wk 16
+$110.00 Wk 17
-----------------
Net Regular Season Winnings +$880.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

Week 10 NFL Game Predictor

Week 11 NFL Game Predictor

Week 12 NFL Game Predictor

Week 13 NFL Game Predictor

Week 14 NFL Game Predictor

Week 15 NFL Game Predictor

Week 16 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends