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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 16

December 24th, 2009

What a weekend of football we are about to see. With six AFC teams sporting identical 7-7 records and two teams just a game ahead at 8-6, the postseason picture in the AFC is not yet clear. While things are a bit more concrete in the NFC, several teams are still jockeying for playoff position in the conference as well.

In fact two Week 17 NFC games --Packers-Cardinals and Eagles-Cowboys could repeat on the schedule the very next week in the wild-card round.

Last week we were 9-7 straight up, and 10-6 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 137-71 straight up and 113-95 ATS.

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 16 Record:
8-8  Straight Up / 10-6  ATS (+$300.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
145-79 (64.73%) Straight Up / 123-101 (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$770.00

4 Year Running Record:
631-362 (63.54%) Straight Up / 545-448. (54.88%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5247.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 16 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Points Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Friday, Dec. 25 7:30 p.m. San Diego Chargers
@ Tennessee Titans
3.43
10.61

-1
3.43
9.61
SDG
-6.18
TEN
-3
SDG 42
17
Sun, Dec. 27 1 p.m. Carolina Panthers
@ New York Giants
11.85
7.35

-1
11.85
6.35
NYG
-5.5
NYG
-7
CAR 41
9
1 p.m. Buffalo Bills
@ Atlanta Falcons
14.60
10.79

-1
14.60
9.79
ATL
-4.81
ATL
-9
BUF 3
31
1 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ New Orleans Saints
18.40
2.03

-1
18.40
1.03
NWO
-17.37
NWO
-14
NWO 20
17
1 p.m. Houston Texans
@ Miami Dolphins
9.88
10.11

-1
9.88
9.11
MIA
-0.77
MIA
-3
HOU 27
20
4:15 p.m. Denver Broncos
@ Philadelphia Eagles
6.99
3.37

-1
6.99
2.37
PHI
-4.62
PHI
-7
DEN 27
30
1 p.m. Seattle Seahawks
@ Green Bay Packers
18.39
4.62

-1
18.39
3.62
GNB
-14.77
GNB
-13.5
GNB 10
48
1 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
5.06
9.70

-1
5.06
8.70
BAL
-3.64
PIT
-3
BAL 20
23
1 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs
@ Cincinnati Bengals
18.65
6.40

-2
18.65
4.40
CIN
-13.25
CIN
-13.5
KAN 10
17
1 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars
@ New England Patriots
12.14
3.29

-1
12.14
2.29
NWE
-9.85
NWE
-8
NWE 7
35
1 p.m. Oakland Raiders
@ Cleveland Browns
16.73
19.05

-1
16.73
18.05
OAK
-1.32
CLE
-3
OAK 9
23
4:05 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ San Francisco 49ers
20.68
11.70

-1
20.68
10.70
SFO
-9.98
SFO
-12
DET 6
20
4:05 p.m. St. Louis Rams
@ Arizona Cardinals
21.29
7.91

-1
21.29
6.91
ARI
-14.38
ARI
-14
ARI 10
31
4:15 p.m. New York Jets
@ Indianapolis Colts
8.68
0.98

-1
8.68
-0.02
IND
-8.70
IND
-5.5
IND 29
15
8:20 p.m. Dallas Cowboys
@ Washington Redskins
5.13
15.25

-1
5.13
14.25
DAL
-9.12
WAS
+6.5
DAL 17
0
Mon, Dec. 28 8:30 p.m. Minnesota Vikings
@ Chicago Bears
3.45
15.85

-1
3.45
14.85
MIN
-11.4
CHI
+7
MIN 30
36

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie. (we play half points whne possible)

Week 16 Record:
8-8  Straight Up / 10-6  ATS (+$300.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
145-79 (64.73%) Straight Up / 123-101 (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$770.00

4 Year Running Record:
631-362 (63.54%) Straight Up / 545-448. (54.88%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5247.50

Week 16 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

+$300.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-$270.00 Wk 13
-$270.00 Wk 14
+$300.00 Wk 15
+$300.00 Wk 1
-----------------
Net +$770.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

Week 10 NFL Game Predictor

Week 11 NFL Game Predictor

Week 12 NFL Game Predictor

Week 13 NFL Game Predictor

Week 14 NFL Game Predictor

Week 15 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends