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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 15

December 16th, 2009

.This is going to be a heck of a week of NFL football. The Saints and Colts have tough tests to start the week as they try to remain unbeaten. The Colts start the week on Thursday at the Jaguars who always play them tough and must win to stay in wild card position, and the Saints follow that up with a big Saturday home game against a desperate Cowboys team. That's just the first two games of the week. The season is winding down and although there are some locks, the AFC wild card race is amazing with 6 games within a game with three to go and a lot of those teams play each other which should set up for some great football this weekend..

Last week we were 12-4 straight up, and 7-9 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 128-64 straight up and 103-89 ATS.

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 15 Record:
9-7  Straight Up / 10-6  ATS (+$300.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
137-71 (65.87%) Straight Up / 113-95 (54.33%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$470.00

4 Year Running Record:
623-354 (63.77%) Straight Up / 535-442. (54.76%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4947.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 15 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Thursday
 Dec. 17
8:20 p.m. Indianapolis Colts
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
0.77
11.60

-2
0.77
9.60
IND
-8.83
JAC
+3
IND 35
31
Saturday
 Dec. 19
8:20 p.m. Dallas Cowboys
@ New Orleans Saints
7.05
1.50

-2
7.05
-0.50
NWO
-7.55
NWO
-7
NWO 24
27
Sunday
 Dec. 20
1 p.m. Houston Texans
@ St. Louis Rams
9.70
20.62
  9.70
20.62
HOU
-10.92
NL HOU 16
13
1 p.m. Arizona Cardinals
@ Detroit Lions
7.49
20.52

-1
7.49
19.52
ARI
-12.03
DET
+12
ARI 31
24
1 p.m. San Francisco 49ers
@ Philadelphia Eagles
10.97
4.10

-2
10.97
2.10
PHI
-8.87
PHI
-7.5
PHI 13
27
1 p.m. Cleveland Browns
@ Kansas City Chiefs
19.37
18.54

-1
19.37
17.54
KAN
-1.83
KAN
-1.5
KAN 41
34
1 p.m. Miami Dolphins
@ Tennessee Titans
9.43
10.94

-2
9.43
8.94
TEN
-0.49
NL TEN 24
27
1 p.m. Chicago Bears
@ Baltimore Ravens
14.75
5.62

-1
14.75
4.62
BAL
-10.13
BAL
-11
CHI 7
31
1 p.m. New England Patriots
@ Buffalo Bills
3.71
14.17

-1
3.71
13.17
NWE
-9.46
BUF
+7
NWE 17
10
1 p.m. Atlanta Falcons
@ New York Jets
11.70
7.69

-1
11.70
6.69
NYJ
-5.01
NL NYJ 10
7
4:05 p.m. Oakland Raiders
@ Denver Broncos
18.02
5.80

-1
18.02
4.80
DEN
-13.22
DEN
-14
OAK 20
19
4:05 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals
@ San Diego Chargers
5.90
3.55

-2
5.90
1.55
SDG
-4.35
SDG
-7
CIN 24
27
4:15 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ Seattle Seahawks
19.54
15.10

-1
19.54
15.10
SEA
-4.44
SEA
-7
TAM 24
7
  4:15 p.m. Green Bay Packers
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
3.83
10.18

-2
3.83
8.18
GNB
-4.35
PIT
-2
GNB 36
37
8:20 p.m. Minnesota Vikings
@ Carolina Panthers
2.28
13.63

-1
2.28
12.63
MIN
-10.35
CAR
+9
MIN 7
26
Mon, Dec. 21 8:30 p.m. New York Giants
@ Washington Redskins
9.18
14.42

-1
9.18
13.42
NYG
-4.24
WAS
+3
NYG 45
12

NFL Week 16 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Points Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Friday, Dec. 25 7:30 p.m. San Diego Chargers
@ Tennessee Titans
             
Sun, Dec. 27 1 p.m. Carolina Panthers
@ New York Giants
             
1 p.m. Buffalo Bills
@ Atlanta Falcons
             
1 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ New Orleans Saints
             
1 p.m. Houston Texans
@ Miami Dolphins
             
1 p.m. Denver Broncos
@ Philadelphia Eagles
             
1 p.m. Seattle Seahawks
@ Green Bay Packers
             
1 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
             
1 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs
@ Cincinnati Bengals
             
1 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars
@ New England Patriots
             
1 p.m. Oakland Raiders
@ Cleveland Browns
             
4:05 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ San Francisco 49ers
             
4:05 p.m. St. Louis Rams
@ Arizona Cardinals
             
4:15 p.m. New York Jets
@ Indianapolis Colts
             
8:20 p.m. Dallas Cowboys
@ Washington Redskins
             
Mon, Dec. 28 8:30 p.m. Minnesota Vikings
@ Chicago Bears
             

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 15 Record:
9-7  Straight Up / 10-6  ATS (+$300.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
137-71 (65.87%) Straight Up / 113-95 (54.33%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$470.00

4 Year Running Record:
623-354 (63.77%) Straight Up / 535-442. (54.76%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4947.50

Week 15 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

+$300.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-$270.00 Wk 13
-$270.00 Wk 14
+$300.00 Wk 15
-----------------
Net +$470.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

Week 10 NFL Game Predictor

Week 11 NFL Game Predictor

Week 12 NFL Game Predictor

Week 13 NFL Game Predictor

Week 14 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends