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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 13

December 7th, 2009

A rough week for the predictor ATS as the upsets were aplenty. We didn't see the Raiders coming, but neither did the Steelers apparently  The Dolphins bested the Patriots to make the East into a dogfight with the Dolphins and Jets just one game back now. Washington gave the Saints all they could handle, but the Saints pulled it out in the end. The Cowboys continue to have problems when December hits, and the Cardinals appear to be getting hot at the right time again as they harassed the Vikings and Favre all night. Overall another great and unpredictable weekend of football in what has turned into a great season.

Last week we were 10-6 straight up, and 7-9 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 116-60 straight up and 96-80 ATS.

This week features some great games. Browns fans don't even care if they go 2-14 if those wins can just come against the Steelers. The rivalry is that heated and the Steelers are reeling. Should make for a fun Thursday night matchup. Denver get to take the next shot at ending the streak in Indianapolis, while the Saints try to stay unbeaten visiting the Falcons. The best matchups should be the Bengals visiting the Vikings as Favre and the Vikings try to bounce back after a surprising thrashing last week in Arizona and the Chargers visit Dallas as the Cowboys try to stop the typical December swoon. It should be a great week of football here are our predictions.

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 14 Record:
12-4  Straight Up / 7-9  ATS (-$270.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
128-64 (66.67%) Straight Up / 103-89 (53.65%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$170.00

4 Year Running Record:
614-347 (63.89%) Straight Up / 525-436. (54.63%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4647.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 14 Predictions


Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Thu, Dec. 10 8:20 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers
@ Cleveland Browns
7.464
19.573
-1
-1
6.464
18.573
PIT
-12.109
CLE
+10
PIT 6
13
Sun, Dec. 13 1 p.m. Seattle Seahawks
@ Houston Texans
12.964
9.709

-1
12.964
8.709
HOU
-4.255
HOU
-6.5
SEA 7
34
1 p.m. Buffalo Bills
@ Kansas City Chiefs
14.391
17.445
+1
-3
15.391
14.445
KAN
.946
PK KAN 16
10
1 p.m. Miami Dolphins
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
9.714
10.809

-1
9.714
9.809
MIA
-.095
JAC
-3
MIA 14
10
1 p.m. Denver Broncos
@ Indianapolis Colts
4.909
0.300

-1
4.909
-.700
IND
-5.609
IND
-7
DEN 16
28
1 p.m. Green Bay Packers
@ Chicago Bears
3.450
13.677

-1
3.450
12.677
GNB
-9.227
CHI
+3
GNB 21
14
1 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals
@ Minnesota Vikings
4.327
2.064

-2
4.327
0.064
MIN
-4.263
MIN
-7
CIN 10
30
1 p.m. New Orleans Saints
@ Atlanta Falcons
0.350
10.645

+1
0.350
11.645
NWO
-11.295
ATL
+10.5
NWO 26
23
1 p.m. New York Jets
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7.832
18.323
+2
-1
9.832
17.323
NYJ
-7.491
TAM
+3
NYJ 26
3
1 p.m. Carolina Panthers
@ New England Patriots
12.927
3.059

-2
12.927
1.059
NWE
-11.868
NWE
-14
CAR 10
20
1 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ Baltimore Ravens
18.964
6.277
+3
-1
21.964
5.277
BAL
-16.687
BAL
-13.5
BAL 3
48
  4:05 p.m. St. Louis Rams
@ Tennessee Titans
18.755
12.023

-1
18.755
11.023
TEN
-7.732
TEN
-13.5
STL 7
47
4:05 p.m. Washington Redskins
@ Oakland Raiders
14.055
16.559
+1
-2
15.055
14.559
OAK
-.496
PK OAK 34
13
4:15 p.m. San Diego Chargers
@ Dallas Cowboys
3.045
5.645

-1
3.045
4.645
SDG
-1.6
DAL
-3
SDG 20
17
8:20 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles
@ New York Giants
4.236
7.191

-2
4.236
5.191
PHI
-.955
PK PHI 45
38
Mon, Dec. 14 8:30 p.m. Arizona Cardinals
@ San Francisco 49ers
5.423
10.791

-1
5.423
9.791
ARI
-4.368
SFO
+3.5
ARI 9
24

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 14 Record:
12-4  Straight Up / 7-9  ATS (-$270.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
128-64 (66.67%) Straight Up / 103-89 (53.65%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$170.00

4 Year Running Record:
614-347 (63.89%) Straight Up / 525-436. (54.63%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4647.50

Week 14 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

-$270.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-$270.00 Wk 13
-$270.00 Wk 14
-----------------
Net +$170.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

Week 10 NFL Game Predictor

Week 11 NFL Game Predictor

Week 12 NFL Game Predictor

Week 13 NFL Game Predictor

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends