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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 13

December 7th, 2009

A rough week for the predictor ATS as the upsets were aplenty. We didn't see the Raiders coming, but neither did the Steelers apparently  The Dolphins bested the Patriots to make the East into a dogfight with the Dolphins and Jets just one game back now. Washington gave the Saints all they could handle, but the Saints pulled it out in the end. The Cowboys continue to have problems when December hits, and the Cardinals appear to be getting hot at the right time again as they harassed the Vikings and Favre all night. Overall another great and unpredictable weekend of football in what has turned into a great season.

Last week we were 10-6 straight up, and 7-9 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 116-60 straight up and 96-80 ATS.

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 13 Record:
10-6  Straight Up / 7-9  ATS (-$270.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
116-60 (65.91%) Straight Up / 96-80 (54.55%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$440.00

4 Year Running Record:
602-343 (63.70%) Straight Up / 518-427. (54.81%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4917.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 13 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Thu, Dec. 03 8:20 p.m. New York Jets <<
@ Buffalo Bills
8.359
13.655

-1
8.359
12.655
NYJ
-4.296
Buf
+3
NYJ 19
13
Sun, Dec. 06 1 p.m. Houston Texans
@ Jacksonville Jaguars <<
8.932
11.700
  8.932
11.700
HOU
-2.768
PK HOU 18
23
  1 p.m. New England Patriots
@ Miami Dolphins <<
1.609
10.855
-1
.609
10.855
NWE
-10.246
MIA
+5.5
NWE 21
22
1 p.m. Oakland Raiders  <<
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
17.432
5.977
+1
-3
18.432
2.977
PIT
-15.445
PIT
-14.5
PIT 27
24
1 p.m. Tennessee Titans
@ Indianapolis Colts <<
11.514
0.368
-1
10.514
0.368
IND
-10.146
IND
-6.5
IND 17
27
1 p.m. Denver Broncos  <<
@ Kansas City Chiefs
6.127
16.391
  6.127
16.391
DEN
-10.264
KAN
+4.5
DEN 44
13
1 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles  <<
@ Atlanta Falcons
5.732
8.986

+3
5.732
11.986
PHI
-6.254
ATL
+5.5
PHI 34
 7
1 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ Cincinnati Bengals <<
19.205
4.045

-1
19.205
3.045
CIN
-16.160
CIN
-13
CIN 13
23
1 p.m. St. Louis Rams
@ Chicago Bears <<
19.082
13.777
  19.082
13.777
CHI
-5.305
CHI
-9
STL  9
17 
1 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ Carolina Panthers <<
18.159
13.232

-1
18.159
12.232
CAR
-5.927
CAR
-6.5
TAM  6
16 
1 p.m. New Orleans Saints  <<
@ Washington Redskins
0.0230
14.000
  .0230
14.000
NWO
-13.977
WAS
+9.5
NWO 33
30
4:05 p.m. San Diego Chargers  <<
@ Cleveland Browns
3.405
19.391
  3.405
19.391
SDG
-15.986
CLE
+13
SDG 30
23
4:15 p.m. Dallas Cowboys
@ New York Giants <<
4.714
7.805

-1
4.714
6.805
DAL
-2.091
NYG
+3
NYG 24
31
4:15 p.m. San Francisco 49ers
@ Seattle Seahawks <<
10.600
13.514

10.600
13.514
SFO
-2.914
PK SFO 17
20
8:20 p.m. Minnesota Vikings
@ Arizona Cardinals <<
1.368
6.923

+1
1.368
7.923
MIN
6.555
ARI
+5.5
MIN 17
30
Mon, Dec. 07 8:30 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Green Bay Packers <<
4.541
4.405
+1
-2
5.541
2.405
GNB
-3.136
GNB
-3
GNB 14
27

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 13 Record:
10-6  Straight Up / 7-9  ATS (-$270.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
116-60 (65.91%) Straight Up / 96-80 (54.55%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$440.00

4 Year Running Record:
602-343 (63.70%) Straight Up / 518-427. (54.81%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4917.50

Week 13 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

-$270.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-$270.00 Wk 13
-----------------
Net +$440.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

Week 10 NFL Game Predictor

Week 11 NFL Game Predictor

Week 12 NFL Game Predictor

 

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends