SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
November 25th, 2009
Upset specials ruled last week in the always unpredictable NFL as Big Ben got his bell rung in KC setting up a game for all the marbles this week in Baltimore. What a horrible place to have to protect Ben. The Colts and Saints remained unbeaten, but this week the Saints face their toughest test of the season against the hot Patriots while the Colts face a tough division game at Houston. It looks to be an exciting week of football again, giving us all something to be thankful for this holiday week.
Back on track this week as teams come back to form late in the season. 12-4 straight up, and 9-7 ATS bringing our year to date record to a respectable 93-51 straight up and 81-63 ATS.
As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 12 Record:
13-3 Straight Up / 8-8 ATS (-$80.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
106-54 (66.25%) Straight Up / 89-71 (55.63%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$710.00
4 Year Running Record:
592-337 (63.72%) Straight Up / 511-418. (55.01%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5187.50
This weeks games:
NFL Week 12 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov. 26 | 12:30 p.m. |
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions |
5.319 18.100 |
-1 |
5.319 17.100 |
GNB -11.781 |
DET +11 |
GNB | 34 12 |
| 4:15 p.m. |
Oakland Raiders @ Dallas Cowboys |
16.324 5.338 |
16.324 5.338 |
DAL -10.986 |
DAL -14 |
OAK | 7 24 |
||
| 8:20 p.m. |
New York Giants @ Denver Broncos |
6.005 7.833 |
6.005 7.833 |
NYG -1.828 |
DEN +6 |
DEN | 6 26 |
||
| Sun, Nov. 29 | 1 p.m. |
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans |
0.233 8.343 |
-2 |
0.233 6.343 |
IND -6.110 |
HOU +3 |
IND | 35 27 |
| 1 p.m. |
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals |
19.262 4.405 |
-1 |
19.262 3.405 |
CIN -15.857 |
CIN -14 |
CIN | 7 16 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills |
9.200 14.905 |
9.200 14.905 |
MIA -5.705 |
BUF +3 |
MIA | 14 31 |
||
| 1 p.m. |
Carolina Panthers @ New York Jets |
11.919 8.681 |
-1 |
11.919 7.681 |
NYJ -3.328 |
NYJ -3 |
NYJ | 6 17 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons |
17.733 8.343 |
-2 |
17.733 6.343 |
ATL -11.390 |
ATL -12 |
TAM | 17 20 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams |
13.338 18.467 |
-1 |
13.338 17.467 |
SEA -4.129 |
STL +3 |
SEA | 27 17 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles |
12.790 5.219 |
-2 |
12.790 3.219 |
PHI -9.571 |
PHI -9 |
PHI | 24 27 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers |
14.995 3.900 |
-1 |
14.995 2.900 |
SDG -12.095 |
SDG -14 |
KAN | 14 43 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Francisco 49ers |
10.662 11.133 |
-1 |
10.662 10.133 |
SFO -0.529 |
SFO -3.5 |
JAC | 3 20 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans |
5.690 12.019 |
-1 |
5.690 11.019 |
ARI -5.329 |
TEN -1.5 |
ARI | 17 20 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings |
11.957 2.100 |
-1 |
11.957 1.100 |
MIN -10.857 |
MIN -10.5 |
MIN | 10 36 |
|
| 8:20 p.m. |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens |
5.124 4.605 |
-1 |
5.124 3.605 |
BAL -1.519 |
BAL -1 |
BAL | 17 20 |
|
| Mon, Nov. 30 | 8:30 p.m. |
New England Patriots @ New Orleans Saints |
0.636 0.352 |
0.636 0.352 |
NWO -.284 |
NWO -3 |
NWE | 17 38 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 12 Record:
13-3 Straight Up / 8-8 ATS (-$80.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
106-54 (66.25%) Straight Up / 89-71 (55.63%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$710.00
4 Year Running Record:
592-337 (63.72%) Straight Up / 511-418. (55.01%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5187.50
Week 12 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
-$80.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-$80.00 Wk 12
-----------------
Net +$710.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
