SportzNutz NFL Game Predictor
Latest NFL news and headlines from a completely different point of view
November 19th, 2009
Last week brought statement wins from the Cardinals and Bengals, a LaDainian Tomlinson sighting in San Diego, LJ getting his wish and getting out of KC, and an old man flipping the bird to fans not once, but one of those screwy flip the bird in several directions up yours fantastic moments that can only be seen once in a lifetime from an 86 year old man (see priceless video here). Could this week possibly top that. Who knows, but in the NFL you never know what is going to happen this week.
Been a tough few weeks for the predictor, lets hope we get back on track this week as teams come back to form late in the season. 7-8 straight up, and 7-8 ATS bringing our year to date record to a still respectable 81-47 straight up and 72-56 ATS.
As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.
Week 11 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 9-7 ATS (+$110.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
93-51 (64.58%) Straight Up / 81-63 (56.25%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$790.00
4 Year Running Record:
579-334 (63.42%) Straight Up / 503-410. (55.09%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5267.50
This weeks games:
NFL Week 11 Predictions
| Date | Time (ET) | Points | Adj | Net Pts | Prediction | Spread | ATS Pick | Results | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov. 19 | 8:20 p.m. |
Miami Dolphins
<< @ Carolina Panthers |
11.063 12.568 |
+2 -1 |
13.063 11.568 |
CAR -3.495 |
CAR -3 |
CAR | 24 17 |
| Sun, Nov. 22 | 1 p.m. |
Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars << |
15.916 12.332 |
-1 |
15.916 11.332 |
JAC -4.584 |
JAC -9 |
BUF | 15 18 |
| 1 p.m. |
Indianapolis Colts
<< @ Baltimore Ravens |
1.011 4.437 |
-2 |
1.011 2.437 |
IND -1.426 |
BAL +2 |
BAL | 17 15 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs << |
4.347 16.958 |
-1 |
4.347 15.958 |
PIT -12.611 |
KAN +10 |
PIT | 24 27 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions << |
19.754 19.079 |
-1 |
19.754 18.079 |
DET -1.675 |
DET -3.5 |
CLE | 37 38 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
New Orleans Saints
<< @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
2.432 18.442 |
-1 |
2.432 17.442 |
NWO -15.010 |
TAM +11 |
NWO | 38 7 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers << |
10.779 7.660 |
+1 -2 |
11.779 5.660 |
GNB -4.119 |
GNB -6 |
GNB | 24 30 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings << |
13.084 3.595 |
+1 -1 |
13.084 2.595 |
MIN -11.489 |
MIN -10.5 |
MIN | 9 35 |
|
| 1 p.m. |
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys << |
14.063 6.184 |
14.063 6.184 |
DAL -7.879 |
DAL -11 |
WAS | 6 7 |
||
| 1 p.m. |
Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants << |
8.347 8.284 |
-1 |
8.347 7.284 |
NYG -1.063 |
NYG -7 |
ATL | 31 34 |
|
| 4:05 p.m. |
Arizona Cardinals
<< @ St. Louis Rams |
6.547 19.184 |
-1 |
6.547 18.184 |
ARI -11.637 |
STL +9 |
ARI | 21 13 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
San Diego Chargers
<< @ Denver Broncos |
7.142 6.389 |
+2 |
7.142 8.389 |
SDG -1.247 |
DEN -3 |
SDG | 32 3 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders << |
3.670 18.895 |
+1 |
3.670 19.895 |
CIN -16.225 |
OAK +9.5 |
CIN | 17 20 |
|
| 4:15 p.m. |
New York Jets @ New England Patriots << |
8.742 2.470 |
-1 |
8.742 1.470 |
NWE -7.272 |
NWE -10.5 |
NYJ | 14 31 |
|
| 8:20 p.m. |
Philadelphia Eagles
<< @ Chicago Bears |
7.047 12.058 |
-1 |
7.047 11.058 |
PHI -4.011 |
CHI +3 |
PHI | 24 20 |
|
| Mon, Nov. 23 | 8:30 p.m. |
Tennessee Titans
<< @ Houston Texans |
14.011 7.732 |
-1 -1 |
13.011 6.732 |
HOU -6.279 |
HOU -4.5 |
HOU | 20 17 |
How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50
criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point
difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home
field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the
prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win
by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a
bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is
smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a
ATS contest.
If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.
Week 11 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 9-7 ATS (+$110.00)
Overall
2009 Record:
93-51 (64.58%) Straight Up / 81-63 (56.25%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$790.00
4 Year Running Record:
579-334 (63.42%) Straight Up / 503-410. (55.09%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5267.50
Week 11 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays
+$110.00
2009 Running Money Record
+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
+$110.00 Wk 11
-----------------
Net +$790.00
Archives
NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive
Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50
3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50
Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00
Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS
2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record:
5-6 Straight Up 6-5 ATS
2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit: + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS 9-2 over/under
2006 Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up / 131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS 9-2
Over/Under
2006 Season betting results at 1 unit: + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)
The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends
