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2009 NFL Computerized Game Predictor - Week 10

November 19th, 2009

 

Been a tough few weeks for the predictor, lets hope we get back on track this week as teams come back to form late in the season.  7-8 straight up, and 7-8 ATS bringing our year to date record to a still respectable 81-47 straight up and 72-56 ATS.

As the season continues the predictor usually gets better and better as there can be some statistical anomalies early in the season, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

Week 10 Record:
7-8  Straight Up / 7-8  ATS (-$170.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
81-47 (63.28%) Straight Up / 72-56 (56.25%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$680.00

4 Year Running Record:
567-330 (63.21%) Straight Up / 494-403. (55.07%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5157.50

This weeks games:

NFL Week 10 Predictions

Date Time (ET) Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick Results
Thu, Nov. 12 8:20 p.m. Chicago Bears
@ San Francisco 49ers <<
12.505
13.540
  12.505
13.540
CHI
-1.035
SFO
-3.5
SFO  6
10 
Sun, Nov. 15 1 p.m. Buffalo Bills
@ Tennessee Titans <<
15.410
17.685

-1
15.410
16.685
BUF
-1.275
TEN
-6.5
BUF 17
41
1 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals  <<
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
 4.445
 4.020

4.445
4.020
PIT
-0.425
PIT
-7
CIN 18
12
1 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars <<
@ New York Jets
15.170
 7.895
  15.170
 7.895
NYJ
-7.275
NYJ
-6.5
NYJ 24
22
1 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ Miami Dolphins <<
20.610
12.035
  20.610
12.035
MIA
-8.575
MIA
-10
TAM 23
25
1 p.m. Denver Broncos
@ Washington Redskins <<
 4.930
16.975
  4.930
16.975
DEN
-12.045
DEN
-3.5
DEN 17
27
1 p.m. Atlanta Falcons
@ Carolina Panthers <<
 7.580
15.125
   7.580
15.125 
ATL
-7.545
ATL
-1.5
ATL 19
28
1 p.m. Detroit Lions
@ Minnesota Vikings <<
20.980
 3.986

-1
20.980
2.986
MIN
-17.994
MIN
-17
MIN 10
27
1 p.m. New Orleans Saints  <<
@ St. Louis Rams
 1.119
22.480

-1
 1.119
21.480 
NWO
-20.361
NWO
-13.5
NWO 28
23
4:05 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs   <<
@ Oakland Raiders
19.550
19.750
  19.550
19.750
KAN
-0.200
OAK
-2
KAN 16
10
4:15 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles
@ San Diego Chargers  <<
 6.560
 8.360

-2
6.560
6.360
SDG
-0.200
SDG
-2
PHI 23
31
4:15 p.m. Dallas Cowboys
@ Green Bay Packers  <<
 5.585
10.165

-1
5.585
10.165
DAL
-3
DAL
-3.580
DAL  7
17 
4:15 p.m. Seattle Seahawks
@ Arizona Cardinals
13.945
 8.730
  13.945
 8.730
ARI
-5.125
ARI
-8.5
SEA 20
31
8:20 p.m. New England Patriots
@ Indianapolis Colts
 1.205
 1.176
  1.205
1.176
NWE
-.029
IND
-3
NWE 34
35
Mon, Nov. 16 8:30 p.m. Baltimore Ravens
@ Cleveland Browns
 6.420
21.550
  6.420
-15.130
BAL
-15.130
BAL
-10.5
BAL 16
 0

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.

Week 10 Record:
7-8  Straight Up / 7-8  ATS (-$170.00)

Overall 2009 Record:
81-47 (63.28%) Straight Up / 72-56 (56.25%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$680.00

4 Year Running Record:
567-330 (63.21%) Straight Up / 494-403. (55.07%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5157.50

Week 8 2009 Money Record:
One Unit Plays

-$170.00

2009 Running Money Record

+$300.00 Wk2
+$680.00 Wk3
-$ 70.00 Wk 4
+$690.00 Wk 5
-$650.00 Wk 6
+$600.00 Wk 7
-$350.00 Wk 8
-$350.00 Wk 9
-$170.00 Wk 10
-----------------
Net +$680.00


Archives

Week 2 NFL Game Predictor

Week 3 NFL Game Predictor

Week 4 NFL Game Predictor

Week 5 NFL Game Predictor

Week 6 NFL Game Predictor

Week 7 NFL Game Predictor

Week 8 NFL Game Predictor

Week 9 NFL Game Predictor

 

 

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends