NutzWorld Tools email Email calendar Calendar weather Weather money Money Careers/Jobs Shopping   Air Tickets/Travel   Poster Store  amazon  Amazon Shops 


2009 NFL Computer Game Predictor - Super Bowl Sunday

January 25th, 2010

Countdown
Stay tuned for daily updates
Following some amazing title games, the Saints and Colts will meet in Super Bowl XLIV on Sunday, Feb. 7. The Colts and Saints spent most of the season atop our power poll and it ends just as we had hoped for throughout a great season. These are two of the most prolific offenses in the league who have entertained us all season. Who could ask for a better Super Bowl? Two great quarterbacks, two No. 1 seeds, and two offenses that can move the ball up and down the field should make for a shootout even though both opportunistic defenses cannot be overlooked.

The Saints defense is extremely opportunistic, but the Colts aren't likely to make as many mistakes as Brett Favre and the Vikings did so when they get a chance, they will have to capitalize on every opportunity. The Colts defense also relies on turnovers and the big play. In many ways these teams are mirrors of each other so it could come down to the Colts and specifically Peyton Manning's experience. Not so fast though, the Saints have knocked off (and nearly knocked out ) two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Brett Favre) in thier playoff road to the Super Bowl, so they're not intimidated by Manning

Scroll down for complete previews and our picks.

This will change as the next two weeks go on as news trickles out, so these are not the final predictions but a reflection of where they stand as of today

Remember we do this for fun, so take it for what it is worth, especially early in the season. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

This weeks game:

NFL Super Bowl Sunday Predictions

 

Date/Time (ET)   Points Adj Net Pts Pick Spread ATS Pick Results
Jan 24, 2010
3:00 p.m.
New Orleans Saints
vs
Indianapolis Colts
1.220
1.130

1.220
1.130
IND IND
-4
NWO  

Related Video

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=d980309f-711f-418c-84ef-cb36d0c1cc13&from=IV2_en-us_foxsports_videocentral" target="_new" title="NFL on FOX: Super Bowl XLIV Preview">Video: NFL on FOX: Super Bowl XLIV Preview</a>

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=74725126-3869-47f0-a93f-4300a7269dc7&from=IV2_en-us_foxsports_videocentral" target="_new" title="Highlights: Vikings - Saints">Video: Highlights: Vikings - Saints</a>

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=bb3128cb-86b0-4ade-bfaa-b814bda6135d&from=IV2_en-us_foxsports_videocentral" target="_new" title="NFL on FOX: Saints edge Vikings">Video: NFL on FOX: Saints edge Vikings</a>

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie. (we buy half points when possible)


Archives

NFL Game Predictor 2009 Archive

Overall 2009 Record:
153-87 (63.75%) Straight Up / 132-108 (55.00%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$880.00

4 Year Running Record:
639-370 (63.33%) Straight Up / 554-455. (54.91%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$5357.50

NFL Game Predictor 2008 Archive

Overall 2008 Record:
165-102 (62.00%) Straight Up / 140-127 (52.31%) ATS

Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00) - +$147.50

3 Year Running Record:
486-283 (63.29%) Straight Up / 422-347 (54.82%) ATS
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +$4477.50

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

 

The NFL Game Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends