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10-30-08

The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends.

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Another great week as not only did we go a very good 10-3 straight up and 9-5 against the spread, we also picked a great money line plays in the Dolphins upset

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 9
79-51 (60.77%) Straight Up / 70-60 (53.85%) ATS  (+547.50
see below)

Week 9 2008 Record:
11-3 Straight Up / 9-5 ATS (+$310.00)

3 Year Running Record:
400
-232 (63.29%) Straight Up / 352-280 (55.69%) ATS

NFL Week 9
SUN, NOV 2 TIME/TV POINTS ADJ NET PREDICTION SPREAD ATS PICK  
NY Jets<<
Buffalo
26
17
12.954
 8.917

-1
12.954
 7.917
BUF
-5.037
BUF
-5.5
NYJ Tickets
Preview
Detroit
Chicago
<<
23
27
21.361
 7.663

-1
21.361
 6.663
CHI
14.698
CHI
-12.5
CHI Tickets
Preview
Jacksonville
Cincinnati
<<
19
21
13.543
20.592

-1
13.543
19.592
JAC
-6.049
CIN
+8
CIN Tickets
Preview
Baltimore<<
Cleveland
37
27
10.120
13.217

-1
10.120
12.217
BAL
-2.097
CLE
-1.5
BAL Tickets
Preview
Green Bay
Tennessee
<<
16
19
9.649
3.647

-1
 9.649
 2.647
TEN
-7.002
TEN
-4.5
TEN Tickets
Preview
Tampa Bay<<
Kansas City
30
27
 6.257
20.324

-1
 6.257
19.324
TAM
-13.067
KAN
+9
TAM Tickets
Preview
Arizona<<
St. Louis
34
13
 8.788
18.110

-1
 8.788
17.110
ARI
-8.322
STL
+3
ARI Tickets
Preview
Houston
Minnesota
<<
21
28
15.021
12.779

-1
15.021
11.779
MIN
-3.242
MIN
-4.5
HOU Tickets
Preview
Miami<<
Denver
26
17
13.095
15.166

-1
13.095
14.166
MIA
-1.071
DEN
-3.5
MIA Tickets
Preview
Dallas
NY Giants
<<
14
35
 8.640
 3.858

-1
 8.640
 2.858
NYG
-5.782
NYG
-9
DAL Tickets
Preview
Philadelphia<<
Seattle
26
 7
 7.001
18.345

-1
 7.001
17.345
PHI
-10.344
SEA
+6.5
PHI Tickets
Preview
Atlanta<<
Oakland
24
 0
12.189
18.983

-1
12.189
17.983
ATL
-5.794
OAK
+2.5
ATL Tickets
Preview
New England
Indianapolis
<<
15
18
 9.748
12.846

-1
 9.748
11.846
NWE
-2.098
IND
-6
NWE Tickets
Preview
MON, NOV 3
Pittsburgh<<
Washington
23
 6
5.308
6.994

-1
5.308
5.994
PIT
-0.686
WAS
-2
PIT Tickets
Preview
·Bye: New Orleans, San Diego, San Francisco, Carolina

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 9
79-51 (60.77%) Straight Up / 70-60 (53.85%) ATS  (+547.50
see below)

Week 9 2008 Record:
11-3 Straight Up / 9-5 ATS (+$310.00)

3 Year Running Record:
400
-232 (63.29%) Straight Up / 352-280 (55.69%) ATS

This year we started in week one which we never have before and every year we hedge our bets at the beginning of the year because of the nature of the predictor. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

We usually have bet 50.00 the first week which was week 2.

This year we bet 25.00 per game in week one, 50.00 in week two and three, 75.00 in week 4 and 5 and now will be betting 100.00 per game per week for the rest of the year.

That is just our system for averaging out the beginning slow start of every year. We usually stay at 100.00 for most of the year and then depending on winnings either stay there or bet a little more at the end of the season and playoff time.

So this year we did the following:

Week 9 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1710 for a net of +310.00
Week 8 we bet a total of 1400 and won 2000 for a net of +600.00
Week 7 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 6 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 4-5 we bet a total of 2025 and won 2137.50 for a net of +112.50
Week 2-3 we bet a total of 1550 and won 1235.00 for a net of -315.00
Week 1   we bet a total of  400 and won  380.00 for a net of -20.00

So for the year we are at +547.50 to date

How the predictor works:

Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.


Predictor History

Week 8 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 7 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 6 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 5 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 4 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 3 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 2 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 1 2008 NFL Predictor

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)


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