NutzWorld

 Sponsor

 NFL Predictor
NFL Front Page
NFL Lines
NFL Tickets
NFL Draft

9-18-08

The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends.

Get tickets to the games

Time to play this weeks version of pin the tail on the NFL leader. Last week, in the end, out of our top 6 teams in the power rankings, 5 lost and one had a  bye. So a big shakeup will be coming this week as the old parable continues this year again. Any Given Sunday.

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 7
60-42 (58.81%) Straight Up / 50-52 (49.01%) ATS  (-$362.50 see below)

Week 7 2008 Record:
10-4 Straight Up / 7-7 ATS

3 Year Running Record:
381-223 (63.08%) Straight Up / 332-272 (54.97%) ATS

NFL Week 7
SUN, OCT 19 TIME POINTS ADJ NET PREDICTION SPREAD ATS PICK  
San Diego
at
Buffalo
14
23
11.985
 9.186

-1
11.985
8.186
BUF
-3.799
BUF
-1
BUF Recap
Minnesota
at
Chicago
41
48
13.360
10.020

-1
13.360
 9.020
CHI
-4.340
CHI
-3
CHI Recap
Pittsburgh
at
Cincinnati
38
10
 6.900
20.995

-1
 6.900
19.995
PIT
-13.095
CIN
+9.5
PIT Recap
Tennessee
at
Kansas City
34
10
 5.555
20.985

+1
 5.555
21.985
TEN
-16.430
KAN
+9
TEN Recap
Dallas
at
St. Louis
14
34
 8.565
20.993
+4
-1
12.565
19.993
DAL
-7.428
STL
+7
DAL Recap
Baltimore
at
Miami
27
13
14.520
13.380

-2
14.520
11.380
MIA
-3.140
MIA
-3
MIA Recap
San Francisco
at
NY Giants
17
29
19.150
 6.186

-1
19.150
 5.186
NYG
-13.964
NYG
-10
NYG Recap
New Orleans
at
Carolina
 7
30
11.800
 9.800
-1
-1
10.800
 8.800
CAR
-2
CAR
-3
NWO Recap
Detroit
at
Houston
21
28
23.145
17.075
+2
-2
25.145
15.075
HOU
-10.070
HOU
-9.5
HOU Recap
NY Jets
at
Oakland
13
16
13.085
19.235

+1
13.085
20.235
NYJ
-7.150
OAK
+3
NYJ Recap
Indianapolis
at
Green Bay
14
34
10.390
14.555

-1
10.390
13.555
IND
-3.165
GRE
+1
IND Recap
Cleveland
at
Washington
11
14
14.490
 8.150

-1
14.490
 7.150
WAS
-7.340
WAS
-8
CLE Recap
Seattle
at
Tampa Bay
10
20
20.690
 6.271

-1
20.690
 5.271
TAM
-15.419
TAM
-10
TAM Recap
MON, OCT 20
Denver
at
New England
 7
41
12.829
13.805

-1
12.829
12.805
NWE
-0.24
NWE
-3.5
DEN Recap
·Bye: Atlanta, Philadelphia, Arizona, Jacksonville

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 7
60-42 (58.81%) Straight Up / 50-52 (49.01%) ATS  (-$362.50 see below)

Week 7 2008 Record:
10-4 Straight Up / 7-7 ATS

3 Year Running Record:
381-223 (63.08%) Straight Up / 332-272 (54.97%) ATS

This year we started in week one which we never have before and every year we hedge our bets at the beginning of the year because of the nature of the predictor. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

We usually have bet 50.00 the first week which was week 2.

This year we bet 25.00 per game in week one, 50.00 in week two and three, 75.00 in week 4 and 5 and now will be betting 100.00 per game per week for the rest of the year.

That is just our system for averaging out the beginning slow start of every year. We usually stay at 100.00 for most of the year and then depending on winnings either stay there or bet a little more at the end of the season and playoff time.

So this year we did the following:

Week 7 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 6 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 4-5 we bet a total of 2025 and won 2137.50 for a net of +112.50
Week 2-3 we bet a total of 1550 and won 1235.00 for a net of -315.00
Week 1   we bet a total of  400 and won  380.00 for a net of -20.00

So for the year we are at -292.50 so with our break even point we have to go 9-5 to be up for the year.

On an interesting sidenote, because we bet at local Casinos our comps for our total bets total 256.00 as of this week.

How the predictor works:

Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.


Predictor History

Week 6 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 5 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 4 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 3 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 2 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 1 2008 NFL Predictor

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)


TICKETS from TicketCity
 

Arizona Cardinals Tickets
Atlanta Falcons Tickets
Baltimore Ravens Tickets
Buffalo Bills Tickets
Carolina Panthers Tickets
Chicago Bears Tickets
Cincinnati Bengals Tickets
Cleveland Browns Tickets
Dallas Cowboys Tickets
Denver Broncos Tickets
Detroit Lions Tickets
Green Bay Packers Tickets
Houston Texans Tickets
Indianapolis Colts Tickets
Jacksonville Jaguars Tickets

Kansas City Chiefs Tickets
Miami Dolphins Tickets
Minnesota Vikings Tickets
New Orleans Saints Tickets
New York Giants Tickets
New York Jets Tickets
New England Patriots Tickets
Oakland Raiders Tickets
Philadelphia Eagles Tickets
Pittsburgh Steelers Tickets
San Diego Chargers Tickets
San Francisco 49ers Tickets
Seattle Seahawks Tickets
St Louis Rams Tickets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tickets
Tennessee Titans Tickets
Washington Redskins Tickets

NUTZMEDIA | ADVERTISE | CONTACT US | ABOUT NUTZMEDIA | PRIVACY POLICY | MISSION STATEMENT

© Copyright 1997-2006 NutzMedia.com
All Rights Reserved