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9-18-08

The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends.

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What a horrible week this is turning out for the NFL predictor. So far going into Sunday night we are at a horrendous 4-12 ATS although 11-5 straight up. Bad teams played way above their heads today as the Falcons, Seahawks and Dolphins all put up +30 points in winning efforts. Even the Raiders almost won against undefeated Buffalo and Cinci stayed with the world champs and the Jaguars beat the Colts. It's going to be one of those wild seasons. We have one or two weeks like this every year, it all balances out by the end as we will have a couple of 13-3 weeks usually to balance them out. That's why we say....this site is for entertainment purposes only.

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

Overall 2008 Record:
29-18 (61.70%) Straight Up / 21-26 (44.68%) ATS  

Week 3 2008 Record: Through Sunday Night
11-5 Straight Up / 4-12 ATS

3 Year Running Record:
350-199 (63.75%) Straight Up / 303-246 (55.19%) ATS

NFL Week 3
SUN, SEP 21 Score Points Adj Net Pts Prediction Spread ATS Pick  
Kansas City
at
Atlanta
<<
14
38
18.176
16.324

-1
18.176
15.324
ATL
-2.852
ATL
-6
Chiefs Recap
Oakland
at
Buffalo
<<
23
24
16.265
 6.412

-2
16.265
 4.412
BUF
-11.853
BUF
-9.5
Bills Recap
Tampa Bay<<
at
Chicago
27
24
11.765
 8.176

-2
11.765
 6.176
CHI
-5.589
CHI
-3
Bears Recap
Houston
at Tennessee
<<
12
24
17.765
 5.971

-2
17.765
 3.971
TEN
-13.794
TEN
-5
Titans Recap
Carolina
at Minnesota
<<
12
31
 7.294
13.412

-1
 7.294
12.412
CAR
-5.118
MIN
-3.5
Panthers Recap
Miami<<
at
New England
38
13
20.765
 6.471

-2
20.765
 4.471
NWE
-16.294
NWE
-13
Patriots Recap
Cincinnati
at NY Giants
<<
23
26
18.618
2.735

-2
18.618
  .735
NYG
-17.883
NYG
-13
Giants Recap
Arizona
at
Washington
<<
17
24
 7.765
11.176

-2
7.765
9.176
ARI
-1.411
WAS
-3
Cardinals Recap
Detroit
at San Francisco
<<
13
31
20.706
15.765

-2
20.706
13.765
SFO
-6.941
SFO
-4.5
49ers Recap
St. Louis
at Seattle
<<
13
37
23.353
18.765

-1
23.353
17.765
SEA
-5.588
SEA
-10
Rams Recap
New Orleans
at Denver
<<
32
34
12.118
 7.471

-2
12.118
 5.471
DEN
-6.647
DEN
-5.5
Broncos Recap
Pittsburgh
at Philadelphia
<<
 6
15
5.176
6.853

-2
5.176
4.853
PHI
-0.323
PHI
-3.5
Steelers Recap
Jacksonville<<
at Indianapolis
23
21
12.941
 9.559

-1
12.941
 8.559
IND
-4.382
IND
-5.5
Jaguars Recap
Cleveland
at
Baltimore<<
10
28
16.882
11.294

-1
16.882
10.294
BAL
-6.588
BAL
-2.5
Ravens Recap
Dallas
at
Green Bay
27
16
4.618
6.413

-1
4.618
5.413
DAL
-0.795
GNB
+3.5
Packers Recap
MON, SEP 22
NY Jets
at San Diego
29
48
12.412
11.059

-1
12.412
10.059
SDG
-2.353
SDG
-9.5
Jets Preview

Overall 2008 Record:
29-18 (61.70%) Straight Up / 21-26 (44.68%) ATS  

Week 3 2008 Record: Through Sunday Night
11-5 Straight Up / 4-12 ATS  

3 Year Running Record:
350-199 (63.75%) Straight Up / 303-246 (55.19%) ATS

How the predictor works:

Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.


Predictor History

Week 2 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 1 2008 NFL Predictor

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)


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