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10-30-08

The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends.

Get tickets to the games

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 13
123-69 (64.06%) Straight Up / 101-91 (52.60%) ATS  (+237.50
see below)

Week 13 2008 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 7-9 ATS (-270.00)

3 Year Running Record:
444
-250 (63.98%) Straight Up / 383-311 (55.19%) ATS

NFL Week 13
THU, NOV 27   POINTS ADJ NET PREDICTION SPREAD ATS PICK  
Tennessee<<
Detroit
47
10
 3.558
21.101
   3.558
21.101
TEN
-17.543
TEN
-11
TEN Recap
Seattle
Dallas
<<
 9
34
18.028
 9.694

-1
18.028
 8.694
DAL
-9.334
DAL
-12
SEA Recap
Arizona
Philadelphia
<<
20
48
 8.909
10.739

-1
 8.909
 9.739
ARI
-.830
PHI
-3
ARI Recap
SUN, NOV 30
San Francisco<<
Buffalo
10
 3
17.845
12.991

-1
17.845
11.991
BUF
-5.854
BUF
-7
SFO Tickets
Baltimore<<
Cincinnati
34
 3
 8.540
18.449

-1
 8.540
17.449
BAL
-8.909
CIN
+7
BAL Tickets
Indianapolis<<
Cleveland
10
 6
 8.470
14.284
-1
 
 7.470
14.284
IND
-6.814
CLE
+4.5
IND Tickets
Carolina<<
Green Bay
35
31
  7.291
 10.723

-1
 7.291
 9.723
CAR
-2.432
GNB
-3
CAR Tickets
Miami<<
St. Louis
16
12
11.606
20.800
-1
 
10.606
20.800
MIA
-10.194
MIA
-10
MIA Tickets
New Orleans
Tampa Bay
<<
20
23
11.854
 5.893

-1
11.854
 4.893
TAM
-6.961
TAM
-3.5
TAM Tickets
NY Giants<<
Washington
23
 7
 3.318
 9.769

-1
 3.318
 8.769
NYG
-5.451
WAS
+3
NYG Tickets
Denver<<
NY Jets
34
17
16.334
 5.652

-1
16.334
 4.652
NYJ
-11.682
NYJ
-7.5
NYJ Tickets
Atlanta<<
San Diego
22
16
 9.172
13.352

-1
 9.172
12.352
ATL
-3.180
SDG
-4.5
ATL Tickets
Pittsburgh<<
New England
33
10
 5.469
 8.951

-1
5.469
7.951
PIT
-2.482
NWE
-1
PIT Tickets
Kansas City<<
Oakland
20
13
19.647
16.209

-1
19.647
15.209
OAK
-4.438
OAK
-3
OAK Tickets
Chicago
Minnesota
<<
14
34
 9.796
10.572

-1
 9.796
 9.572
MIN
-0.224
MIN
-3.5
CHI Tickets
MON, DEC 1
Jacksonville
Houston
17
30
14.611
16.014

-2
14.611
14.014
HOU
-0.597
HOU
-3
JAC Tickets

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 13
123-69 (64.06%) Straight Up / 101-91 (52.60%) ATS  (+237.50
see below)

Week 13 2008 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 7-9 ATS (-270.00)

3 Year Running Record:
444
-250 (63.98%) Straight Up / 383-311 (55.19%) ATS

This year we started in week one which we never have before and every year we hedge our bets at the beginning of the year because of the nature of the predictor. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

We usually have bet 50.00 the first week which was week 2.

This year we bet 25.00 per game in week one, 50.00 in week two and three, 75.00 in week 4 and 5 and now will be betting 100.00 per game per week for the rest of the year.

That is just our system for averaging out the beginning slow start of every year. We usually stay at 100.00 for most of the year and then depending on winnings either stay there or bet a little more at the end of the season and playoff time.

So this year we did the following:

Week 13 we bet a total of 1600 and won 1330 for a net of -270.00
Week 12 we bet a total of 1600 and won 1900 for a net of +300.00
Week 11 we bet a total of 1600 and won 1330 for a net of -270.00
Week 10 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 9 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1710 for a net of +310.00
Week 8 we bet a total of 1400 and won 2000 for a net of +600.00
Week 7 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 6 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 4-5 we bet a total of 2025 and won 2137.50 for a net of +112.50
Week 2-3 we bet a total of 1550 and won 1235.00 for a net of -315.00
Week 1   we bet a total of  400 and won  380.00 for a net of -20.00

So for the year we are at +507.50 to date

How the predictor works:

Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.


Predictor History

Week 12 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 11 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 10 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 9 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 8 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 7 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 6 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 5 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 4 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 3 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 2 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 1 2008 NFL Predictor

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)


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