NutzWorld

 Sponsor

 NFL Predictor
NFL Front Page
NFL Lines
NFL Tickets
NFL Draft

10-30-08

The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your friends.

Get tickets to the games

We are finally past the bye weeks and into full weekends of football again. What a start the week has with the Jets and Patriots on Thursday night with more controversy again this year as large portions of the country miss out on another big game. We had a decent week straight up last week at 10-4 although we were only .500 ATS. For the year we remain at very near our 3 year running record of 63.5% straight up and 55.57% ATS. Hopefully after this week we will be ahead of both.

Our money line dog picks for this week are the Jets at +150, the Rams at +235 just because that is too good a number to pass up, the Bears at +175, and Cleveland at +200 since the Bills are reeling. Remember these 4 picks are not part of our regular picks, just the money lines we will be playing for your information.

How the predictor works:
Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 11
101-59 (63.13%) Straight Up / 84-76 (53.13%) ATS  (+207.50
see below)

Week 11 2008 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 7-9 ATS (-270.00)

3 Year Running Record:
422
-240 (63.75%) Straight Up / 366-296 (55.44%) ATS

NFL Week 11 Predictions
THU, NOV 13   POINTS ADJ NET PREDICTION SPREAD ATS PICK  
NY Jets<<
New England
34
31
 8.790
 9.263

-1
 8.790
 8.263
NWE
-0.526
NWE
-3.5
NYJ Recap
SUN, NOV 16
Denver<<
Atlanta
24
20
15.752
 9.305

-1
15.752
 8.305
ATL
-7.447
ATL
-6.5
ATL Recap
Philadelphia
Cincinnati
13
13
 6.890
19.552

-1
 6.890
18.552
PHI
-11.662
CIN
+9
PHI Recap
Chicago
Green Bay
<<
 3
37
 8.899
11.628

-1
 8.899
10.628
GNB
-1.729
GNB
-3.5
CHI Recap
Houston
Indianapolis
<<
27
33
16.439
10.510

-3
16.439
 7.510
IND
-9.929
IND
-8
IND Recap
New Orleans
Kansas City
30
20
13.733
19.169

-1
13.733
18.169
NWO
-4.436
KAN
+5.5
KAN Recap
Oakland
Miami
<<
15
17
19.652
11.070

-1
19.652
10.070
MIA
-9.582
MIA
-11
OAK Recap
Baltimore
NY Giants
<<
10
30
 6.985
 3.689

-1
6.985
2.689
NYG
-4.296
NYG
-7
BAL Recap
Minnesota
Tampa Bay
13
19
11.138
 6.117

-1
11.138
 5.117
TAM
-6.021
TAM
-3.5
TAM Recap
Detroit
Carolina
<<
22
31
21.620
 6.675

-1
21.620
 5.675
CAR
-15.945
CAR
-14
CAR Recap
Tennessee<<
Jacksonville
24
14
 3.584
14.020

-1
 3.584
13.020
TEN
-9.436
JAC
+3
TEN Recap
St. Louis
San Francisco
<<
16
35
20.160
18.707

-1
20.160
17.707
SFO
-2.453
SFO
-6.5
STL Recap
Arizona<<
Seattle
26
20
 7.920
18.661

-1
 7.920
17.661
ARI
-9.741
SEA
+3
ARI Recap
San Diego
Pittsburgh
<<
10
11
13.584
 6.006

-1
13.584
 5.006
PIT
-8.578
PIT
-4.5
PIT Recap
Dallas<<
Washington
14
10
11.026
 8.006
-3
-1
 8.026
 7.006
WAS
-1.020
WAS
-1.5
DAL Recap
MON, NOV 17
Cleveland<<
Buffalo
29
27
15.192
13.023

-1
15.192
12.023
BUF
-3.169
BUF
-5
CLE Recap

Overall 2008 Record: Through Week 11
101-59 (63.13%) Straight Up / 84-76 (53.13%) ATS  (+207.50
see below)

Week 11 2008 Record:
12-4 Straight Up / 7-9 ATS (-270.00)

3 Year Running Record:
422
-240 (63.75%) Straight Up / 366-296 (55.44%) ATS

This year we started in week one which we never have before and every year we hedge our bets at the beginning of the year because of the nature of the predictor. Remember we live in Nevada so it is legal for us to bet. If you live elsewhere this is just for giggles.

We usually have bet 50.00 the first week which was week 2.

This year we bet 25.00 per game in week one, 50.00 in week two and three, 75.00 in week 4 and 5 and now will be betting 100.00 per game per week for the rest of the year.

That is just our system for averaging out the beginning slow start of every year. We usually stay at 100.00 for most of the year and then depending on winnings either stay there or bet a little more at the end of the season and playoff time.

So this year we did the following:

Week 11 we bet a total of 1600 and won 1520 for a net of -270.00
Week 10 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 9 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1710 for a net of +310.00
Week 8 we bet a total of 1400 and won 2000 for a net of +600.00
Week 7 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 6 we bet a total of 1400 and won 1330 for a net of -70.00
Week 4-5 we bet a total of 2025 and won 2137.50 for a net of +112.50
Week 2-3 we bet a total of 1550 and won 1235.00 for a net of -315.00
Week 1   we bet a total of  400 and won  380.00 for a net of -20.00

So for the year we are at +397.50 to date

How the predictor works:

Power points are given from our computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog if you are in a ATS contest.

If you have the option of not picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.

Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with any major injuries

Reading Results: Red games are losses.  If you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening would be the ATS result

We count ATS ties as wins since you cant lose a tie.


Predictor History

Week 10 2008 Game Predictor
Week 9 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 8 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 7 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 6 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 5 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 4 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 3 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 2 2008 NFL Predictor
Week 1 2008 NFL Predictor

Overall Final 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  
Total win based on 1 unit ($100.00): +2830.00

Overall 2007 Record:
172-79(68.53%) Straight Up / 147-104(58.57%) ATS  

2007 Regular Season Record: 167-73(69.58%) Straight Up /141-99(58.75%) ATS
2007 Playoff Record: 5-6 Straight Up   6-5 ATS

2007 Complete Season to Date betting results at 1 unit:  + $2830
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)

Overall 2006 Record:
149-102 straight up  135-116 ATS  9-2 over/under

2006 Regular Season:  142-98 Straight Up  /  131-109 ATS
2006 Playoff Record:  7-4   /  4-7 ATS   9-2 Over/Under

2006 Season betting results at 1 unit:  + $1500
(wins are figured at -110 so a won game pays 190.00)


TICKETS from TicketCity
 

Arizona Cardinals Tickets
Atlanta Falcons Tickets
Baltimore Ravens Tickets
Buffalo Bills Tickets
Carolina Panthers Tickets
Chicago Bears Tickets
Cincinnati Bengals Tickets
Cleveland Browns Tickets
Dallas Cowboys Tickets
Denver Broncos Tickets
Detroit Lions Tickets
Green Bay Packers Tickets
Houston Texans Tickets
Indianapolis Colts Tickets
Jacksonville Jaguars Tickets

Kansas City Chiefs Tickets
Miami Dolphins Tickets
Minnesota Vikings Tickets
New Orleans Saints Tickets
New York Giants Tickets
New York Jets Tickets
New England Patriots Tickets
Oakland Raiders Tickets
Philadelphia Eagles Tickets
Pittsburgh Steelers Tickets
San Diego Chargers Tickets
San Francisco 49ers Tickets
Seattle Seahawks Tickets
St Louis Rams Tickets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tickets
Tennessee Titans Tickets
Washington Redskins Tickets

NUTZMEDIA | ADVERTISE | CONTACT US | ABOUT NUTZMEDIA | PRIVACY POLICY | MISSION STATEMENT

© Copyright 1997-2006 NutzMedia.com
All Rights Reserved