Last week was a strange one, the Seahawks, Cowboys and Giants all
dropped games to foes with worse records. The Colts narrowly escaped a
test from the Raiders in Oakland, the Patriots grinded one a win over
the Jets, and the Ravens fell to the previously winless Dolphins. This
year is always one of the toughest times to pick games because so much
is dependent on how hard teams that are either locked in, or eliminated
from the playoffs decide to play. For example how hard will the Colts
play, they are locked into position. Will they rest a lot of players?
We will leave it up to you to decide which games you like, but remember
we always say if the predictor is less than a 2 point different (in
purple) from the Vegas line we do not play the
game as it becomes a 50-50 shot. We predict every game in our NFL Predictor.
The predictor record through stands at
147-61 Straight Up / 123-85 through week 16
How the predictor works: Power points are given from our
computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being
strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point
on the scoreboard. Home field advantage is figured at 3 points.
The number in the prediction is how many points the computer
thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread
if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the
favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog
if you are in a ATS contest.
If you have the option of not
picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the
spread is less than 2 points do not play the game.
The NFL Predictor is our proprietary computer program
that predicts game scores. Remember this site is for entertainment
purposes only. So have some fun and compare your results with your
friends.
As we said before the week, tough games to call as we lost 4 ATS games to
playoff teams as they rested players and the like. Expect more of the same next
week. This is what happens when there is no parity.
2007 Season To Date: 158-66 (70.54%) Straight Up / 132-92 (58.9%)
ATS
following week 16
Last Year Regular Season: 142-98 Straight Up /
131-109 ATS
Last Year Playoff Record: 7-4 / 4-7 ATS
9-2 Over/Under
Overall 2006 Record: 149-102 straight up 135-116 ATS
9-2 over under
How the predictor works:
New Page 1
Adjustment is based on home record formula overall over last 3 years along with
any major injuries
Power points are given from our
computer based on over 50 criteria, with the lower number being
strongest. Each point difference in a team reflects to a point
on the scoreboard. The number in the prediction is how many points the computer
thinks they will win by. Take that and figure it to the spread
if it is the same or a bigger number than the spread we take the
favorite if it is smaller than the spread you take the underdog
if you are in a ATS contest.
If you have the option of not
picking teams anytime the difference in the prediction and the
spread is less than 1 point do not play the game.
Reading Results: Red games are losses. If
you bet based on the score differential given ATS at opening
would be the ATS result
We count ATS ties as wins since you cant
lose a tie.
