Sponsors

NFL Headlines

Brees and Saints win Super Bowl XLIV, 31-17 over Colts
The ultimate underdogs, they ain#146;t. Not anymore. The Saints are Super Bowl champions now. Who Dat? Try Drew Brees, Sean Payton and a team that has reversed its embarrassing past, carrying an entire city to the top with it...
Early Super Bowl Predictions and Previews
Following some amazing title games, the Saints and Colts will meet in Super Bowl XLIV on Sunday, Feb. 7. The Colts and Saints spent most of the season atop our power poll and it ends just as we had hoped for throughout a great season. These are two of the most prolific offenses in the league who have entertained us all season. Who could ask for a better Super Bowl? Two great quarterbacks, two No. 1 seeds, and two offenses that can move the ball up and down the field should make for a shootout even though both opportunistic defenses cannot be overlooked....
NFL Video - Bud Adams Loses His Mind
Is there anything more entertaining than a nutjob owner of a sports franchise? How often do you get to see an old man flipping the bird not once, but one of those screwy flip the bird in several directions up yours fantastic moments that can only be seen once in a lifetime from an 90 year old man. Things like this are only usually seen down at the crazy old folks home around here...
Sponsored By: SportzNutz NFL FanShop
Our NFL Shops feature thousands of great NFL items at great prices. Get outfitted today...
SN Video: Gunnar Esiason
Boomer Esiasons son Gunnar suffers from Cystic Fibrosis. This is his story of overcoming and playing the position his father mastered....
SN Video: Chad Johnson Profile
The player everyone either loves or hates, there is no in between with Chad Johnson. E60 profiles Chad the man, as much as Chad the player. An interesting insight into todays NFL player. Chad discusses his obsession, other peoples perceptions, and how he is viewed both as a player and a family man

Navigate SportzNutz

nfl top right include

Sponsors

April 24, 2009

2009 NFL Computerized Mock Draft

 

Our Computerized Mock 2009 NFL Draft
Version 3.0 - April 24th, 2009

 

We go into our third mock and the changes are aplenty. The top 4 spots don't show any movement, but with Mike Crabtree moving up to number 5 the changes are aplenty from there down. With a few positive drug tests and huge trades involving Atlanta and KC knocking Brandon Pettigrew out of the Falcons slot and the Bills grabbing the 28 spot from Philly it just keeps changing as we move down the board. Also we have added video for selected prospects on the new NFL Draft prospect pages.

 

This computerized mock draft is compiled using our own experts along with the grades from over 50 NFL draft sites, as well as over 20 other criteria to give the best overall consensus mock on the web.  Here are our latest rankings on who will go where, along with their DQI rankings. 
For more on DQI rankings click here.

 

 

 

Team

Pick Position

DQI*

1

Detroit Lions

Matthew Stafford (JR)
6'3" 235 lbs
QB
Georgia
1.874
The Lions need a franchise QB to build around. Georgia QB Stafford has a cannon, and has the look of the prototypical NFL quarterback. Stafford would be able to deliver the ball to Calvin Johnson from anywhere on the field. Stafford is not a perfect candidate though as he occasionally disappears from the game or makes a serious mental lapse which costs his team. The Lions can afford to work with him on his shortcomings and could build a great offense around Stafford and Calvin Johnson.
Other Possibilities:
OT Jason Smith, OT Eugene Monroe, LB Aaron Curry
2 St. Louis Rams Jason Smith
6'5" 305 lbs

OT
Baylor

2.055
Jason Smith is the most physical of the tackles, he may not quite be as good as Monroe has the potential to be, but he does not have the physical problems that Monroe does. He has three years of starting experience at tackle for Baylor after starting his collegiate career as a TE. Jason excelled at the combine, he did 33 reps on the bench, had a 24" vertical jump, an 8' broad jump, ran a 7.53 3-cone drill and a 4.69 20yd shuttle. We think he is overrated here and that Monroe would be the better pick, but the computer says its Smith for now.
Other Possibilities:
OT Eugene Monroe, OT Andre Smith, QB Matt Stafford
3 Kansas City Chiefs Aaron Curry
6'3" 246 lbs
LB
Wake Forest
2.057
What is 6'3", 254 pounds, runs a 4.55 forty, has a 37" vertical, a 10'4" broad and has no character issues? This year's safest all-around draft pick. Aaron Curry is the closest thing to a sure thing in any NFL draft and you can bet if he falls to the Chiefs they will be rushing to get to the podium. They will try to trade down if Curry is gone. The Chiefs coaches come from a system with two great wide receivers though, so Crabtree cannot be completely overlooked here either. The good thing for the Chiefs is they need help everywhere except quarterback so they really cant go wrong in this spot.
Other Possibilities:
DE Brian Orapko, OT Jason Smith, OT Eugene Monroe, WR Mike Crabtree
4 Seattle Seahawks Eugene Monroe
6' 5" 309 lbs
OT
Virginia
2.375
Monroe has great feet, but doesn't stay on his blocks as long as Jason Smith. He also has the knee issues to worry about. At 6’ 5” and 309 pounds, Monroe has ideal size for the position, moves well, and has the intelligence that everyone is after in a LOT. Monroe is getting better every year still at this point so his upside is almost unlimited.
Other Possibilities:
DE Brian Orapko, OT Jason Smith, WR Mike Crabtree, QB Mark Sanchez
5 Cleveland Browns Mike Crabtree (So)
6'3" 214 lbs
WR
Texas Tech
2.389
Crabtree is by far the best WR in this draft. Crabtree is a game changer and a tremendous value at this spot. He has the size, the athleticism, the body control, and good enough speed to make plays in the NFL those who think his success is due to Tech's system will be shutting up come the season.

Other Possibilities:
LB Aaron Curry, CB Malcolm Jenkins, DE Brian Orakpo

6 Cincinnati Bengals Andre Smith
6'4" 325 lbs
OT
Alabama
2.391
Andre is huge, yet he is athletic as can be. He shuts down everyone pretty much and although he does not show up the best under the pressure of the combine, however when he plays, you cannot miss him. With his size, he may get converted to guard and would be probably the best guard in the NFL.
Other Possibilities:
LB Aaron Curry, WR Mike Crabtree, CB Malcolm Jenkins, DT B.J. Raji
7 Oakland Raiders Jeremy Maclin (So)
6'1" 200lbs
WR
Missouri
2.447
Al Davis loves speed and Maclin provides speed to burn, he is electrifying and is a perfect fit for the Raiders vertical game. Maclin is the most electrifying player in this years draft as he can score every time he touches the ball. Will be an electrifying returner.  Maclin should be the pick if pure speed is what Davis wants, but if Crabtree falls this far it is going to be a tough choice.
Other Possibilities:
DE Brian Orakpo, WR Michael Crabtree
8 Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Sanchez (Jr)
6'3" 225 lbs
QB
USC
2.688
The Jags pretty much made a WR a necessity here after releasing Matt Jones. But there is no value left at this position and they have a regressing 31 year old quarterback. So we think they are going to grab Sanchez before the 49ers get a chance. The most NFL ready QB coming out running USC's pro style offense. Sanchez can make all the throws and is efficient and accurate, but with just one year of starting experience he is going to need some developmental time. He can be a franchise qb, but maybe not right away. This is a perfect situation and it cant hurt that Jack Del Rio is a USC grad.
Other Possibilities:
WR Michael Crabtree, WR Jeremy Maclin, DT B.J. Raji, OT Michael Oher
9 Green Bay Packers Malcolm Jenkins
6'1" 201lbs
DB
Ohio State
4.588
Jenkins is like a young Charles Woodson, so what better place than to learn from Woodson and possibly moving Woodson over to safety. He has excellent size, athleticism, and speed and can run with just about any receiver. Great recovery skills.
Other Possibilities:
CB Vontae Davis, OT Michael Oher
10 San Francisco 49ers Brian Orakpo
6' 3" 255 lbs
DE
Texas
7.801
Most would call Orakpo the best DE in the nation, he may be better suited to be a rush linebacker at the next level. Orakpo makes a lot of plays along and behind the line of scrimmage. Orakpo is not an elite athlete and gets by on his intensity, smarts, and heart. He plays a lot like Jared Allen and may well be that kind of NFL end who is not great against the run, but is a force rushing the passer.

Other Possibilities:
OT Michael Oher

11 Buffalo Bills Everette Brown (Jr)
6'4" 252 lbs
DE
Florida St.
7.985
The Bills covet Orakpo and hope he falls to them, but Everette Brown is a terror off the edge. Brown explodes off the snap and aggressively gets up the field towards the quarterback. The only knock on him is the old "tweener" label, but in today's NFL the "tweeners" are becoming premier pass rushers.
Other Possibilities:
DE Aaron Maybin, DE Brian Orapkoi, OT Michael Oher
12 Denver Broncos B.J. Raji
6'2" 337 lbs
DT (NT)
Boston College
9.907
The Broncos are switching to a 3-4 and they have two big needs, a NT to man the middle which we would look at B.J. Raji, or a linebacker to stop the run in Rey Maualuga, we would not be overly surprised with either here. But in this mock we go with Raji. Raji has an incredible burst at the snap and penetrates well. Raji showed incredible strength, speed, and just dominated at the Senior Bowl and at the combine as well. Raji was arguably the most dominant defensive lineman in the country, registering 42 tackles, 16 tackles for loss and eight sacks.


Other Possibilities:
NT Rey Maualuga, LB Brian Cushing, DE Everette Brown

13 Washington Redskins Michael Oher
6'4" 309 lbs
OT
Mississippi
10.904
Oher had a horrendous combine which really dropped him, but he is almost interchangeable in ability with the other top tackles, but his erratic behavior can be a problem. However he absolutely can dominate the defensive end and will protect your quarterback at any cost.
Other Possibilities:
OT Andre Smith, DE Tyson Jackson, LB Brian Cushing, DE Everette Brown
14 New Orleans Saints Brian Cushing
6'3" 243 lbs
LB
USC
11.522
After a great Senior Bowl week, this three year USC starter should be a lock. He is a sure tackler who may start out as a first and second down player as he will have to grow his pass coverage skills as he is still a little stiff in coverage.
Other Possibilities:
LB Clay Matthews, LB Aaron Maybin, CB Vontae Davis
15 Houston Texans Vontae Davis (Jr)
6'0" 205 lbs
CB
Illinois
12.001
Vontae is the younger brother of Vernon Davis and is just as much a freakish athletic specimen. He can make all the plays and run with anyone, but he has a little lack of discipline and can take himself out of position at times, but that can be easily fixed and Davis should make a fine CB for some time.
Other Possibilities:
RB Chris Wells, RB Knowhson Moreno
16 San Diego Chargers Rey Maualuga
6'2" 260 lbs
LB
USC
12.688
Rey is a force in the middle and puts fear into opposing offenses, he can be something special and you could conceivably build a defense around him. The Chargers linebackers are aging and Rey could be the player to restart with.


Other Possibilities:
RB Chris Wells, RB Knowhson Moreno

17 New York Jets Josh Freeman
6'6" 250 lbs
QB
Kansas St.
15.025
The Jets need a QB, and Sanchez is not going to fall this far. So they are really stuck with Freeman at this point unless something amazing happens in the remainder of Free Agency.  Freeman will be a good QB, but is not ready to step in and start. Of course last year a lot were saying that about a couple of other quarterbacks. If they get a QB elsewhere, look for them to go WR here.
Other Possibilities:

QB Mark Sanchez, WR Percy Harvin, WR Darrius Heyward-Bey
18 Denver Broncos
(from Chicago)
Clay Matthews
6'3" 240 lbs
LB
USC
16.225
With this pick from the Bears, the Broncos get to get well in a hurry. The QB's are gone now, so they will continue to build that defense. After shoring up the line with Raji at 12 they get to go after Matthews here to shore up the linebacking corps. Matthews has a classic linebacker frame with impressive closing speed, and is a quick learner. Matthews should thrive as a pass rusher in a 3-4, but projects well in a 4-3 as well


Other Possibilities:

QB Josh Freeman, Aaron Maybin, James Laurintis

19 Tampa Bay Bucs Peria Jerry
6'2" 290 lbs
DT
Ole Miss
16.288
Jerry can plug a hole and also can get into the backfield as a disruptor. When you look at Jerry you cant help but think DT as he is built strong and low.

Other Possibilities:
DE Tyson Jackson, RB Knowshon Moreno, QB Josh Freeman
20 Detroit Lions
(from Dallas)
Eben Britton
6'6" 310 lbs
OT
Arizona
16.552
Eben Britton has played both offensive tackle positions and brings an exciting combination of speed, wingspan, strength and field intelligence. He has started all 37 games he appeared in at Arizona, lining up at right offensive tackle for the first 24 contests before shifting to left tackle in 2008. Britton can protect the franchises future for years to come.

Other Possibilities:
DE Tyson Jackson, LB James Laurinatis, DT Jerry Peria

21 Philadelphia Eagles Chris Wells (Jr)
6'1" 237 lbs
RB
Ohio State
17.559
Chris "Beanie" Wells was made to play in Philly. He is a big back, with good hands and is a power zone runner. Tough guy for a tough city. Wells outbenches many of his offensive line teammates. A classic North-South runner and his stiff arms alone can draw gasps from the crowds. The only negative with Wells is a injury history that comes from being maybe a little too tough at times.

Other Possibilities:
DE Tyson Jackson, RB Knowshon Moreno

22 Minnesota Vikings Percy Harvin
5'11" 185 lbs
WR
Florida
18.022
Harvin has a second gear and attitude similar to former USC standout Reggie Bush and like Bush can be used at multiple positions.  Bush has not looked like the same player since entering the league although he flashes at times, and Harvin's similarities to Bush may hurt his position some.


Other Possibilities:
OL Eben Britton, CB DJ Moore, CB Darius Butler

23 New England Patriots Michael Johnson
6'7" 266 lbs
DE
Georgia Tech
18.885
At the combine he put up an incredible set of on-field drills and ran faster, was taller and heavier than most people thought, and had a 38" vertical, 28 bench reps, 4.37 short shuttle, and a 10'8" broad jump. This is a big play game changing athlete who is still young enough to get a lot better. Its almost unfair that the Patriots can get a player this good at this draft position, but for some reason the national media (read Mike Mayock) decided that Johnson was going to be this years assassination victim.

Other Possibilities:
DE Tyson Jackson, DE Aaron Maybin

24 Atlanta Falcons Evander "Ziggy" Hood
6'3" 300 lbs
DT
Missouri
19.011
The entire world had Pettigrew going here, but with the trade for Tony Gonzalez there is no need for a TE this year so the Falcons are free to fix the line. Last year they nearly took Dorsey instead of Ryan, there are even rumors that they may trade this spot FOR Dorsey this year. Although Ziggy lacks the elite explosiveness or strength usually associated with highly rated defensive tackles, he is way more than the sum of his measureables. He plays with passion and will be a serviceable NFL player.

Other Possibilities:
LB Clay Mathews, DE/LB Aaron Maybin

25 Miami Dolphins Kenny Britt (Jr)
6'4" 215 lbs
WR
Rutgers
21.025
Kenny Britt had an impressive combine and pro day and is quickly moving up boards, he is not a Crabtree, Macklin, or Harvin, but he is definitely in the next tier.

Other Possibilities:
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey

26 Baltimore Ravens Darrius Heyward-Bey
6'2" 210 lbs
WR
Maryland
22.778
Tremendous straight-line speed and excellent run after the catch ability. DHB really impressed at the combine with an amazing 4.30 forty and a 40" vertical leap that lets him go up after the ball. He could be a game breaker as he gets stronger as long as he keeps his speed.
Other Possibilities:

DE/LB Aaron Maybin, CB DJ Moore, WR Kenny Britt

27 Indianapolis Colts Knowshon Moreno (So)
5'11" 208 lbs
RB
Georgia
23.225
The Colts have a huge hole at tackle. They also are at a horrendous point in the draft, they need a receiver and Defensive line help, there is just not any first round talent left in this scenario. They go with the best available player here, in Knowshown Moreno. Moreno looks and plays smaller than his listed size so he may just be a change of pace back at the next level
28 Buffalo Bills
(from Eagles via Carolina)
Brandon Pettigrew
6'5" 265 lbs
TE
Oklahoma St.
25.224
Pettigrew doesnt fall far as the Bills absolutely covet him. Bills fans wanted Tony Gonzalez, but will be very happy with Pettigrew

Other Possibilities:
DE Everette Brown, DE Michael Johnson

29 New York Giants Hakeem Nicks (Jr)
6'1" 210 lbs
WR
North Carolina
25.885
The Giants need to add some talent at the WR spot. Nicks has excellent hands and will catch anything in his vicinity. He isnt a speedster, or any other standouts, what stands out is his overall play. Very much like Plaxico in that regard. He will be a productive player and is a nice fit for the G-men
30 Tennessee Titans Alphonso Smith
5'9" 190 lbs
CB
Wake Forest
25.886
Alphonso is quick, has great instincts, can catch the ball very effectively and is rarely caught out of position. The one problem is his size. He is only 5-9 and 190 pounds but he has done nothing but provide results in his career.
31 Arizona Cardinals James Laurinaitis
6'3" 240 lbs
LB
Ohio State
27.552
This may be the steal of the draft as it is a deep draft at LB and Laurinaitis would have been a top ten last year and after a 121 tackle 4 sack and 2 interception season, he seems to have fallen off the radar for some reason. He will be an impact player in the NFL. He is just a natural on the field.
32 Pittsburgh Steelers Alex Mack
6'4" 316 lbs
OL
California
28.555
Mack is a center but can also play guard. Mack is a physical lineman that can dominate at the point of attack and plays both positions very well.
Other Possibilities:
OL Max Unger

 

Dropped out of first round:

 

Max Unger
6'4" 309 lbs
OL
Oregon

We don't list a line position for Unger because he can play all of them. 2 full seasons at left tackle and 2 seasons at center in college so guard is no problem either. He mauls opposing linemen and no one really can get past him. He may actually be a better tackle than center because he doesn't quite have the base against big NT and DT's.

 

2009 NFL Mock Draft Version 1.0
2009 NFL DQI Computerized Mock Draft Version 2.0

 

About the SN DQI rankings

The Draft Quality Index rankings or DQI is a proprietary scientific formula taking into account the draft rankings from over 50 different respected NFL sources.  The sources are not made public and you cannot ask to be included in these sources in order to maintain the integrity of the system.  These rankings are then compared and placed into the database along with over 20 other factors rating each player based on things like 40 time and Wonderlic score, all weighted against past performances of similar NFL players for comparison to come up with a final DQI score.  The DQI score can be viewed most simply with the following breakdown:

1.000-7.500      -  Star NFL player or a cant miss prospect
7.501-15.000    -  Very good NFL career with possibility of developing into a star.  Very small chance of a bust
15.001-22.500  -  Could develop but player has at least one deficiency holding them back.  Good enough to stay in the NFL long term.
22.501-30.000  -  Developmental or specialty player.  May even be a starter but is most likely a specialist such as a pass rusher.  Most draft busts come in this range as teams reach.
30.001-50.000  -  Pure Project Player almost always taken in the second round or later.  When one slips into the first round they are almost always considered a bust.