2007 NFL Draft

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2007 NFL Draft

2007 NFL Draft

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 2007 NFL Draft - DQI Index Mock Draft
2007 NFL Mock Draft - Version 5.0
April 26th, 2007

Just a few more days to go and the boards are starting to solidify. Jamarcus Russell is still the consensus number one, but there have been quite a few changes since last week. Positions 2 through four have moved around and there appears to be some big trades heading down in the next few days, there is even talk of KC trading Larry Johnson, that's how crazy this draft season is. We will update the mocks through 7 am on draft day to reflect trades.

Here is the latest.

Our Computerized Mock 2007 NFL Draft

This computerized mock draft is compiled using our own experts along with the grades from over 50 NFL draft sites, as well as over 20 other criteria to give the best overall consensus mock on the web.  Here are our latest rankings on who will go where, along with their DQI rankings. 
For more on DQI rankings click here.

Team

Player

DQI

 
Change

 1. Oakland

Jamarcus Russell, QB, LSU

This is one of the most amazing jumps in years. Russell is coming out at exactly the right time, He can bring some excitement back to the Raiders. At 6-6 and 260 lbs Russell has an amazing arm and can survive the traditional Raiders QB beatdowns.

Other possibilities:  Calvin Johnson is getting some play at this spot especially if the Raiders make a play for David Carr.

2.930

NC

 2. Detroit

Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson

Adams can make a difference immediately as he was the top pass rusher last season in college football and at 6-4 265 pounds he had 7.5 sacks last year while seeing double teams on nearly every down. He could be one of the best pass rushing true defensive ends in years.

Other possibilities:  Jamarcus Russell, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Brady Quinn, Trade Down

3.784

+2

 3. Cleveland

Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame

Quinn has jumped right back up after a poor senior bowl he has reestablished himself as expected as the most ready to play QB right now. They are still actively seeking a veteran like Trent Green and if they do expect them to move down for someone like Gaines Adams.

Other possibilities: Adrian Peterson, Brady Quinn, JaMarcus Russell, Alan Branch, Joe Thomas, Gaines Adams

3.887

-1

 4. Tampa Bay

Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech

 He will make any QB look like Joe Willy. He ran a 4.35 at the combine. That's not a misprint. This kid is as good or better than Randy Moss or T.O. without the baggage. In any other year he would be the number one pick, and he may still be if the Raiders make a move at QB.

Other possibilities: Joe Thomas, Calvin Johnson

3.905

-2

 5. Arizona

Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin

Joe Thomas is a player you can build an entire line and offense around. He can protect the franchise and open running holes since the Cards found out last year a great running back is not enough. The Cardinals covet Thomas however and may even be willing to move up to get him as the 6-7 313 pound Thomas is the best OT prospect this year, and tackles are at a premium.

Other possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Gaines Adams

4.064

NC

 6. Washington

Amobe Okoye, DT Louisville

Amobe Okoye isn't even 20 years old yet so his upside is unbelievable, but he is already a great prospect who can play immediately. Making a big move up the boards lately

Other possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Alan Branch, Leon Hall, Darrelle Revis

4.239

NC

 7. Minnesota

Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma

Peterson has all the signs of a franchise back, the only question being durability. He ran a 4.38 40 yard dash at the combine and has a rare combination of running, pass catching ability and big play potential. You just have to take this kind of franchise back when he starts falling.

Other possibilities: Jammal Anderson, Gaines Adams, Dwayne Jarrett, Leon Hall

5.200

NC

 8. Atlanta
(from Houston)

LaRon Landry, S, LSU

The closest to a consensus pick we have Landry is the Falcons pick on 80% of our draft boards. Landry can play FS of SS, he blazed a 4.35 40 yard dash at the combine he really solidified his position with his combine. The trade will only solidify his position.

Other possibilities: Alan Branch, Michael Griffin, Gaines Adams, Jammal Anderson

5.193

NC

 9. Miami

Alan Branch, DT, Michigan

Gaines Adams and Alan Branch are the two best defensive lineman available, and depending on the rest of FA they could still go with Adams, but Branch has a lot more upside to build around as he has amazing size and athleticism.

Other Possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Levi Brown, Gaines Adams

5.375

NC

10. Houston
(from Atlanta)

Levi Brown, OT, Penn State

The Texans realize that no matter who you play at quarterback, they cannot be successful if they are running for their lives. Great teams are built from the line out and the Texans should be done trying to fit in superstars with no protection.

Other Possibilities: Adrian Peterson, Ted Ginn Jr., Alan Branch, Amobi Okoye

6.125

NC

11. San Francisco

Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska

A huge 6-6 290 lb defensive end that can move. This is probably too high for this workout warrior who has flown up the off-season boards, but Carriker can replace Marques Douglas right away and be an upgrade over time.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Dwayne Jarrett, Alan Branch, Gaines Adams

7.400

NC

12. Buffalo

Patrick Willis, ILB, Ole Miss

Willis is an absolute tackling machine who registered back to back 125 tackle seasons at MLB. He ran a 4.5 40 at 242 pounds at the combine and was a monster at the Senior Bowl as well. This is a future pro bowl player.

Other Possibilities: Alan Branch, Leon Hall, Adrian Peterson

8.364

NC

13. St. Louis

Jammal Anderson, DE, Arkansas

With 13.5 sacks last year how do you pass up a talent who is 6-6 and 280 ponds who moves like that. The Rams will be thrilled he fell to them here. Monster pass rush ability.

Other Possibilities: Patrick Willis, Adam Carriker

8.625 NC

14. Carolina

Greg Olsen, TE, Miami

They need a linebacker and a safety, but they need to give Carr something to work with At 6-6, 254 pounds, Olsen ran the 40-yard dash in just 4.51. He is a weapon that will allow Carr to be comfortable and that may be teh most important thing they can do.

Other Possibilities: Dwayne Bowe, Paul Poslunsky, Reggie Nelson

8.855 NC

15.Pittsburgh

Leon Hall, CB, Michigan

With the top rated corner falling all the way to number nineteen, after two safeties, and Revis there really is no choice to make here. Really Revis and Hall are interchangeable to some extent. Hall is the more steady player and Revis the big playmaker.

Other Possibilities: Patrick Willis, Paul Poslunsky, Jarvis Moss

8.985 +4

16.  Green Bay

Marshawn Lynch, RB, California

He is the most rounded back available the Packers could not possibly be this lucky. The mocks have him falling all the way to them though and if he does, Green Bay fans should get ready for some really nice years to come. He ran a 4.46 forty yard dash at the combine.

Other Possibilities: Robert Meachem, Greg Olsen, Dwayne Bowe, Dwayne Jarrett, Reggie Nelson

9.110 NC

17. Jacksonville

Reggie Nelson, S, Florida

He ran poorly at the combine dropping his stock a lot, but did much better at his pro day (4.35 40) so he is moving back up the boards. He is a ball hawk and a big time hitter. Will be patrolling the grass for a long time.

Other Possibilities: Charles Johnson, Chris Houston, Dwayne Jarrett, Ted Ginn

9.125

-3

18. Cincinnati

Darrell Revis, CB, Pittsburgh

Revis is the definition of shut down corner, at Pitt, the opposition just quit throwing to that side as he was covering like a blanket and he can catch too. He is faster than many think and if you saw his punt returns, you know that. The Bengals biggest need is to clean their image up. With a total of 9 arrests last year it is overshadowing any team needs at all other than cleaning up their image. Revis has no such history and will be a nice fit to start rebuilding the image.

Other Possibilities: Leon Hall, Amobe Okoye, Greg Olsen

9.350

NC

19. Tennessee

Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State

The WR bunch starts going now and Ginn's blazing speed will add a completely different dimension to the Broncos offense. Ginn finally ran for scouts on April 11th, he ran his 40s in 4.38, 4.44 and 4.45. Ginn also immediately becomes the starting returner.

Other Possibilities: Darrelle Revis, Chris Houston, Robert Meacham, Dwayne Bowe,

9.605 +2

20. NY Giants

Paul Posluszny, ILB, Penn State

The Giants have needs just about everywhere. Linebacker is the most obvious sore spot. Arrington, Short, and Emmons are gone, and Chase Blackburn and Reggie Torbor are not quite starting NFL linebackers. Posluszny is one of those players who doesn't usually get the draft respect he deserves, the boards are finally taking notice. He was the Butkus award winner his Junior year and had 116 tackles as a Senior, but he is not very fast. He is very smart though and plays faster than he is, similar to Donnie Edwards.

Other Possibilities: Michael Griffin, Chris Houston, Darrelle Revis, Lawrence Timmons , any player who can put on a helmet

9.668 -5

21. Denver

Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida State

Timmons has a ton of upside and can add speed and versatility. D.J. Williams can slide into the middle linebacker spot and Timmons takes his spot. Timmons is generally considered the better overall long-term prospect at this draft position amongst the linebackers.

Other Possibilities: Adam Karriker, Darrelle Revis, Marshawn Lynch, Michael Bush, Jarvis Moss

9.682 -1

22. Dallas

Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC

This is mostly a value pick. When a player of this caliber starts to fall, you just have to take him when you can. He's not the fastest, but he has great hands, and makes an impact on the field. He will be an impact player. Not going to stretch the field much but is a first down machine. Terrell Owens is 33 and Terry Glenn is 34 so they really are just filling a future need here.

Other Possibilities: Dwayne Bowe, Chris Houston, Ted Ginn Jr.

10.100 NC

23. Kansas City

Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee

One of the toughest calls in this draft. Why in the world every draft board in the world thinks the Chiefs should draft a WR we can't figure out at all. In Herm Edwards offense a WR is about as useful as... well we cant think of anything less useful than a WR in a Edwards offense to tell the truth, they should draft a bunch of running backs before they kill their franchise with his 30-40 carries a game. The Chiefs will be in heaven if this happens. His size physicality, and speed should make him a go to receiver very quickly. He would become the Chiefs number two immediately and by the end of the year would be pushing Kennison for number one. The Chiefs are going to get their pick amongst Meachem, Jarrett, Ginn, or Bowe in this spot regardless, but we still think offensive line here makes more sense. Their OL is just decimated and they can get a reciever from this deep class in round 2.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Dwayne Bowe, Levi Brown, Sidney Rice, Joe Staley, Ben Grubbs

10.284 NC

24. New England (from Seattle)

Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU

 Bowe is a great wideout who will be a first down machine,  Here they get to grab a player who has tremendous upside, even this late. If there are any questions why the Patriots are always good, this is a great example. They will get to draft not for need, but the best available player on the board.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Sidney Rice, Darrelle Revis, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny, Michael Griffin

10.466 NC

25. NY Jets

Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas

Houston is a great example of what a great combine can do for a player. He was a beast in the bench press and ran a 4.32 40 at the combine and suddenly he is in the first round.

Other Possibilities: Jarvis Moss, Anthoiny Spencer, Chris Houston, Lawrence Timmons, Michael Bush

11.136 NC

26. Philadelphia

Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida

Moss is a tweener who should make the switch to linebacker much line Manny Lawson did last year. He has tremendous physical talent, but is a bit of a project.

Other Possibilities: Jon Beason, Darrelle Revis, Michael Griffin, Sidney Rice, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny

11.914 NC

27. New Orleans

Jon Beason, OLB, Miami

  We think they may try to work on defense and take the best available defender, but hey are in a great position being able to take the best player in any position is how great teams are built.  Beason should step right in as their starting weak side linebacker.

Other Possibilities: Aaron Ross, Chris Houston, Lawrence Timmons, DeMarcus "Tank" Tyler

12.182 NC

28. New England

Michael Griffin, SS, Texas

 They can maybe upgrade at safety or go for some depth at linebacker. The boards seem to be leaning towards safety and Griffin is a playmaker. The Patriots also still need some help at WR as they have lost a lot in recent years.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Sidney Rice, Darrelle Revis, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny, Anthony Spencer

12.443 NC

29. Baltimore

Anthony Spencer, LB/DE, Purdue

Another Tweener who the Ravens hope they can convert to replace Adalius Thomas. Second round talent who is getting some love. We would prefer they take an actual linebacker.

Other Possibilities: Ryan Kalil, Justin Blalock, Michael Bush, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny

12.985 NC

30. San Diego

Brandon Merriweather, FS, Miami (Fl)

Yes, he was in a brawl in college, but he is a Miami player so you get what you pay for. He is a beast at safety and will be an immediate impact player. The Chargers could go wide receiver here as well.

Other Possibilities: Michael Griffin, David Harris, Darrelle Revis, Brandon Siler, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Brandon Merriweather

13.246 NR

31. Chicago

Ben Grubbs, OG, Auburn

The Bears need to draft for the future on their aging OL and Grubbs can possibly even start or at a minimum play a lot as a rookie.

Other Possibilities: Jon Beason, Tony Ugoh, Joe Staley, Ryan Kalil, Greg Olsen, Dwayne Jarrett

13.299 NC

32. Indianapolis

Anthony Gonzalez, WR, Ohio State

Gonzalez is a smart, athletic, high-character receiver that would fit perfectly for their No. 3 role now that Stokley is gone.

Other Possibilities: Tank Tyler, Eric Wright

13.900 NR

A look back: 2007 Mock NFL Draft version 1  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 2  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 3  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 4

Dropped from this mock:

30. Sidney Rice, WR, S. Carolina

A smooth athlete with great hands, Rice doesn’t run great routes and might not have elite speed (ran a 4.51 40 at the combine), but is a pure WR with the potential to get stronger and better throughout his career. 142 receptions, over 2000 yards, and 23 receiving touchdowns in two years cannot be discounted as much as most mocks are.

32. Justin Harrell, DT,  Tennessee

Just like the Bears, the Colts can take whoever they like here, just take the best available player. Harrell is one tough guy who can help to build a defensive identity.

Dropped Previously

25. Charles Johnson, DE, Georgia

An intriguing prospect is Charles Johnson who may be able to play linebacker at the next level since he is 6'2" and 280 lbs of speed. He has already been dropping back into coverage form the line. He could turn into a monster linebacker and at this draft position is worth the chance.

29. Ryan Kalil, C, USC

Kalil had an excellent combine and although he is a little light at 299 lbs, he has the frame to bulk up.

About the SN DQI rankings

The Draft Quality Index rankings or DQI is a proprietary scientific formula taking into account the draft rankings from over 50 different respected NFL sources.  The sources are not made public and you cannot ask to be included in these sources in order to maintain the integrity of the system.  These rankings are then compared and placed into the database along with over 20 other factors rating each player based on things like 40 time and Wonderlic score, all weighted against past performances of similar NFL players for comparison to come up with a final DQI score.  The DQI score can be viewed most simply with the following breakdown:

1.000-7.500      -  Star NFL player or a cant miss prospect
7.501-15.000    -  Very good NFL career with possibility of developing into a star.  Very small chance of a bust
15.001-22.500  -  Could develop but player has at least one deficiency holding them back.  Good enough to stay in the NFL long term.
22.501-30.000  -  Developmental or specialty player.  May even be a starter but is most likely a specialist such as a pass rusher.  Most draft busts come in this range as teams reach.
30.001-50.000  -  Pure Project Player almost always taken in the second round or later.  When one slips into the first round they are almost always considered a bust.

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