2007 NFL Draft

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2007 NFL Draft

2007 NFL Draft
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 2007 NFL Draft - DQI Index Mock Draft
2007 NFL Mock Draft - Version 6.0
April 27th, 2007 3pm

We are one day away. Jamarcus Russell is still the consensus number one, but there have been quite a few changes since last week. There appears to be some big trades heading down, there is even talk of KC trading Larry Johnson, that's how crazy this draft season is. We will update the mocks through 7 am on draft day to reflect trades.

Here is the latest.

Our Computerized Mock 2007 NFL Draft

This computerized mock draft is compiled using our own experts along with the grades from over 50 NFL draft sites, as well as over 20 other criteria to give the best overall consensus mock on the web.  Here are our latest rankings on who will go where, along with their DQI rankings. 
For more on DQI rankings click here.

Team

Pick (Value rated 1-10 takes in account draft position, team need, bust factor and more with 1 being the highest grade.)

DQI*

Our Picks from our final mock draft

 1. Oakland

Jamarcus Russell, QB, LSU

At 6-6 and 260 lbs Russell has an amazing arm and can survive the traditional Raiders QB beatdowns, but he is not ready to play so will learn under fire and history shows us that that can be a bust possibility.

Value 2

2.930

Jamarcus Russell, QB, LSU

This is one of the most amazing jumps in years. Russell is coming out at exactly the right time, He can bring some excitement back to the Raiders. At 6-6 and 260 lbs Russell has an amazing arm and can survive the traditional Raiders QB beatdowns.

Other possibilities:  Calvin Johnson is getting some play at this spot.

 2. Detroit

Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech

He will make any QB look like Joe Willy. He ran a 4.35 at the combine. That's not a misprint. This kid is as good or better than Randy Moss or T.O. without the baggage. Great value at number two and in that offensive system will be a monster.

Value 1

3.905

Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson

Lots have the Lions picking Calvin Johnson, and he is the best player, but how can they possibly take a receiver in this spot again. Adams can make a difference immediately as he was the top pass rusher last season in college football and at 6-4 265 pounds he had 7.5 sacks last year while seeing double teams on nearly every down. He could be one of the best pass rushing true defensive ends in years.

Other possibilities:  Jamarcus Russell, Calvin Johnson, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Brady Quinn, Trade Down

 3. Cleveland

Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin

Regarded by many as the best offensive lineman in college football. Joe Thomas is a player you can build an entire line and offense around.

Value 2

4.064 Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame

Quinn has jumped right back up after a poor senior bowl he has reestablished himself as expected as the most ready to play QB right now. They are still actively seeking a veteran like Trent Green and if they do expect them to move down for someone like Gaines Adams.

Other possibilities: Calvin Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Brady Quinn, JaMarcus Russell, Alan Branch, Joe Thomas, Gaines Adams

 4. Tampa Bay

Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson

Regarded as one of the elite athletes in college football, Adams became only the second Clemson player since the school began playing football in 1896 to earn unanimous All-American first-team honors in 2006. The only other Tiger to be awarded such an honor was safety Terry Kinard in 1982.

Value 1

3.725 Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech

 He will make any QB look like Joe Willy. He ran a 4.35 at the combine. That's not a misprint. This kid is as good or better than Randy Moss or T.O. without the baggage. In any other year he would be the number one pick, and he may still be if the Raiders make a move at QB.

Other possibilities: Joe Thomas, Calvin Johnson, Gaines Adams

 5. Arizona

Levi Brown, OT, Penn State

A former defensive tackle, Brown went on to start every game (45) during his Nittany Lions career, including 44 contests at the demanding left offensive tackle position. Brown generates outstanding pop on contact coming off the snap, but was bothered by a torn meniscus in his left knee during the 2006 season.

Value 5

6.125 Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin

This is Arizona's biggest need this draft and arguably Thomas is one of the best talents in the class and is the best O-Lineman on the board. Joe Thomas is a player you can build an entire line and offense around. He can protect the franchise and open running holes since the Cards found out last year a great running back is not enough. The Cardinals covet Thomas however and may even be willing to move up to get him as the 6-7 313 pound Thomas is the best OT prospect this year, and tackles are at a premium.

Other possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Gaines Adams, Levi Brown, Adrian Peterson

 6. Washington

LaRon Landry, S, LSU

Troy Polamalu, Ed Reed, Brian Dawkins -- three of the best playmakers in the NFL who all happen to be safeties. Based on his career with the Tigers, Landry is primed to etch his name along with those elite athletes in 2007.

Value 2

5.193 Amobe Okoye, DT Louisville

Amobe Okoye isn't even 20 years old yet so his upside is unbelievable, but he is already a great prospect who can play immediately. Making a big move up the boards lately

Other possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Alan Branch, Laron Landry, Leon Hall, Darrelle Revis

 7. Minnesota

Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma

The most decorated runner in Texas high school football continued to have great success at the collegiate level. Even playing for a school known for its storied history of running the football, Peterson etched his name into the Oklahoma record books numerous times during his short career with the Sooners.

Value 1

5.200 Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma

Peterson has all the signs of a franchise back, the only question being durability. He ran a 4.38 40 yard dash at the combine and has a rare combination of running, pass catching ability and big play potential. You just have to take this kind of franchise back when he starts falling.

Other possibilities: Jammal Anderson, Dwayne Jarrett, Leon Hall, Amobe Akoye, Brady Quinn

 8. Atlanta
(from Houston)

Jammal Anderson, DE, Arkansas

One of the most heralded prep receivers in the state of Arkansas, Anderson proved to be a very disruptive force for the Razorbacks on the opposite side of the ball. With his long arm reach, explosive burst, strength and size, he was a nightmare for opposing offensive tackles in unsuccessful attempts to keep him out of their backfield the last two seasons.

Value: 4

8.625 LaRon Landry, S, LSU

The closest to a consensus pick we have Landry is the Falcons pick on 80% of our draft boards. Landry can play FS of SS, he blazed a 4.35 40 yard dash at the combine he really solidified his position with his combine. The trade will only solidify his position. If he is gone and they go defensive end in the first look for Atlanta to acquire Michael Griffin from Texas in round 2 to fill the safety void.

Other possibilities: Alan Branch, Amobe Akoye, Michael Griffin, Jammal Anderson, Brady Quinn, Leon Hall

 9. Miami

Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State

A standout return specialist and defensive back in high school, Ginn teamed with his roommate, Troy Smith, to give the Buckeyes one of the most dangerous pass/catching combinations in the collegiate ranks. Not a polished receiver but a real threat as a game changer. Way too high. Wasn't even ranked in the top 20 by most. Quinn will most likely haunt them for years to come.

Value 8

9.605 Alan Branch, DT, Michigan

Gaines Adams and Alan Branch are the two best defensive lineman available, and depending on the rest of FA they could still go with Adams, but Branch has a lot more upside to build around as he has amazing size and athleticism.

Other Possibilities: Jamaal Anderson, Brady Quinn

10. Houston
(from Atlanta)

Amobe Okoye, DT Louisville

Amobe Okoye isn't even 20 years old yet so his upside is unbelievable, but he is already a great prospect who can play immediately. Making a big move up the boards lately. Great pick for Houston. That defensive line with a number one inside and outside can become a monster.

Value 4

4.239 Levi Brown, OT, Penn State

The Texans realize that no matter who you play at quarterback, they cannot be successful if they are running for their lives. Great teams are built from the line out and the Texans should be done trying to fit in superstars with no protection.

Other Possibilities: Adrian Peterson, Ted Ginn Jr., Alan Branch, Amobi Okoye

11. San Francisco

Patrick Willis, ILB, Ole Miss

Willis is an absolute tackling machine who registered back to back 125 tackle seasons at MLB. He ran a 4.5 40 at 242 pounds at the combine and was a monster at the Senior Bowl as well. This is a future pro bowl player.

Value 1

8.364 Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska

A huge 6-6 290 lb defensive end that can move. This is probably too high for this workout warrior who has flown up the off-season boards, but Carriker can replace Marques Douglas right away and be an upgrade over time.

Other Possibilities: Dwayne Jarrett, Alan Branch

12. Buffalo

Marshawn Lynch, RB, California

He is the most rounded back available. He ran a 4.46 forty yard dash at the combine.

Value: 2

9.110 Patrick Willis, ILB, Ole Miss

Willis is an absolute tackling machine who registered back to back 125 tackle seasons at MLB. He ran a 4.5 40 at 242 pounds at the combine and was a monster at the Senior Bowl as well. This is a future pro bowl player.

Other Possibilities: Leon Hall, Marshawn Lynch, Adam Carriker

13. St. Louis

Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska

A huge 6-6 290 lb defensive end that can move. He has the explosive burst to penetrate the backfield and the range to chase down ball carriers.

Value: 2

7.400 Jammal Anderson, DE, Arkansas

With 13.5 sacks last year how do you pass up a talent who is 6-6 and 280 ponds who moves like that. The Rams will be thrilled he fell to them here. Monster pass rush ability.

Other Possibilities: Patrick Willis, Adam Carriker

14. NY Jets
(from Carolina)

Darrell Revis, CB, Pittsburgh

Revis is the definition of shut down corner, at Pitt, the opposition just quit throwing to that side as he was covering like a blanket and he can catch too

Value: 2

8.985 Reggie Nelson, S, Florida

He ran poorly at the combine dropping his stock a lot, but did much better at his pro day (4.35 40) so he is moving back up the boards. He is a ball hawk and a big time hitter. Will be patrolling the grass for a long time.

Other Possibilities: Dwayne Bowe, Paul Poslunsky, Greg Olsen

15.Pittsburgh

Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida State

Timmons is generally considered the better overall long-term prospect at the bottom half of the draft amongst the linebackers. Not a great pick, but not bad either. Not the best value.

Value: 7

13.246 Darrell Revis, CB, Pittsburgh

Revis is the definition of shut down corner, at Pitt, the opposition just quit throwing to that side as he was covering like a blanket and he can catch too. He is faster than many think and if you saw his punt returns, you know that. Great hometown pick that fills a need. He and Leon Hall are close together so we go with the hometown pick.

Other Possibilities: Patrick Willis, Paul Poslunsky, Jarvis Moss, Leon Hall

16.  Green Bay

Justin Harrell, DT,  Tennessee

A three-year starter on both offense and defense, Harrell caught 18 passes for 354 yards and six touchdowns as a tight end and recorded 72 tackles as defensive lineman Did have an injury issue his Senior year, but played a game with a torn biceps tendon. They don't come any tougher than this guy. They really needed offensive help though.

Value: 6

13.900 Marshawn Lynch, RB, California

He is the most rounded back available the Packers could not possibly be this lucky. The mocks have him falling all the way to them though and if he does, Green Bay fans should get ready for some really nice years to come. He ran a 4.46 forty yard dash at the combine.

Other Possibilities: Robert Meachem, Greg Olsen, Dwayne Bowe, Dwayne Jarrett, Reggie Nelson

17. Denver
(from Jacksonville)

Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida

At 6-6, 255, Moss is a Shawne Merriman-type prospect who is still learning to refine his pass-rushing technique.

Value: 3

9.125 Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida

Moss is a tweener who should make the switch to linebacker much line Manny Lawson did last year. He has tremendous physical talent, but is a bit of a project. At 6-6, 255, Moss is a Shawne Merriman-type prospect who is still learning to refine his pass-rushing technique.

Other Possibilities: Charles Johnson, Chris Houston, Dwayne Jarrett, Ted Ginn

18. Cincinnati

Leon Hall, CB, Michigan

Just a tremendous pick to help finally turn that defense around. Leon Hall is definitely the best value (it's not often you land arguably the top corner in the draft this low)

Value: 1

9.350 Leon Hall, CB, Michigan

With the top rated corners falling there really is no choice to make here. Leon Hall is definitely the best value (it's not often you land arguably the top corner in the draft this low) The Bengals biggest need is to clean their image up. With a total of 9 arrests last year it is overshadowing any team needs at all other than cleaning up their image.

Other Possibilities: Darrelle Revis, Amobe Okoye, Greg Olsen

19. Tennessee

Michael Griffin, SS, Texas

Griffin is a playmaker, but he went downhill his senior year. Not the best value here, but a very good player. The Titans are seriously light at WR and RB so the value would have been with Meacham here.

Value: 6

12.443 Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State

The WR bunch starts going now and Ginn's blazing speed will add a completely different dimension. Ginn finally ran for scouts on April 11th, he ran his 40s in 4.38, 4.44 and 4.45. Ginn also immediately becomes the starting returner.

Other Possibilities: Darrelle Revis, Chris Houston, Robert Meacham, Dwayne Bowe,

20. NY Giants

Aaron Ross, CB, Texas

Ross not only excelled as a cover cornerback for the Longhorns, but was also a standout as a punt returner, scoring three times on 76 runbacks during his career. His natural hands were evident, as he also deflected 33 passes and intercepted 10 others. Only a one year starter and a bit of a reach here.

Value: 6

16.658 Paul Posluszny, ILB, Penn State

The Giants have needs just about everywhere. Linebacker is the most obvious sore spot. Arrington, Short, and Emmons are gone, and Chase Blackburn and Reggie Torbor are not quite starting NFL linebackers. Posluszny is one of those players who doesn't usually get the draft respect he deserves, the boards are finally taking notice. He was the Butkus award winner his Junior year and had 116 tackles as a Senior, but he is not very fast. He is very smart though and plays faster than he is, similar to Donnie Edwards.

Other Possibilities: Michael Griffin, Chris Houston, Darrelle Revis, Lawrence Timmons , any player who can put on a helmet

21. Jacksonville
(From Denver)

Reggie Nelson, S, Florida

The Jags move down, gain picks, and get the player they wanted. Great drafting. He ran poorly at the combine dropping his stock a lot, but did much better at his pro day (4.35 40) so he is moving back up the boards. He is a ball hawk and a big time hitter. Will be patrolling the grass for a long time.

Value: 1

8.555 Joe Staley, OT, Michigan

Joe Staley would be a nice option here and help to solidify their line for many years to come. Staley is a former tight end with terrific feet and athleticism who blew scouts away at his Pro Day by running a low 4.8 at over 300 lbs.

Other Possibilities: Lawrence Timmons, Adam Karriker, Darrelle Revis, Marshawn Lynch, Michael Bush, Jarvis Moss, Charles Johnson

22. Cleveland
(from DAL)

Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame

Just an amazing draft move by Cleveland. Trading back into the first round to get their quarterback after getting the best OL with the third pick. Probably the best draft in years. For any team.

Value: 1+

3.887 Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC

This is mostly a value pick. When a player of this caliber starts to fall, you just have to take him when you can. He's not the fastest, but he has great hands, and makes an impact on the field. He will be an impact player. Not going to stretch the field much but is a first down machine. Terrell Owens is 33 and Terry Glenn is 34 so they really are just filling a future need here.

Other Possibilities: Dwayne Bowe, Chris Houston, Ted Ginn Jr.

23. Kansas City

Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU

Bowe is a great wideout who will be a first down machine,  Here they get to grab a player who has tremendous upside, even this late. We still think they needed to take Staley here, but between Staley and Ugoh they hope one is available in the second round. The Chiefs have had a long time need at WR

Value: 5

10.466 Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee

One of the toughest calls in this draft. Why in the world every draft board in the world thinks the Chiefs should draft a WR we can't figure out at all. In Herm Edwards offense a WR is about as useful as... well we cant think of anything less useful than a WR in a Edwards offense to tell the truth, they should draft a bunch of running backs before they kill their franchise with his 30-40 carries a game. The Chiefs will be in heaven if this happens. His size physicality, and speed should make him a go to receiver very quickly. He would become the Chiefs number two immediately and by the end of the year would be pushing Kennison for number one. The Chiefs are going to get their pick amongst Meachem, Jarrett, Ginn, or Bowe in this spot regardless, but we still think offensive line here makes more sense. Their OL is just decimated and they can get a reciever from this deep class in round 2.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Dwayne Bowe, Levi Brown, Sidney Rice, Joe Staley, Ben Grubbs

24. New England (from Seattle)

Brandon Merriweather, FS, Miami (Fl)

The Patriots needs are safety and WR here they go safety with Meacham still on the board and rated a lot higher. He is a beast at safety and will be an immediate impact player but has some character issues as well.

Value: 7

11.914 Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU

Bowe is a great wideout who will be a first down machine,  Here they get to grab a player who has tremendous upside, even this late. If there are any questions why the Patriots are always good, this is a great example. They will get to draft not for need, but the best available player on the board.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Sidney Rice, Darrelle Revis, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny, Michael Griffin, Brandon Merriweather

25. Carolina
(From NYJ)

Jon Beason, OLB, Miami

He is a workout warrior and at 6’0, 237 pounds, Beason has ideal size for a LB.  Red flagged for a 4.77 40 but he is an impact type player. A player, not a workout warrior.

Value: 7

13.299 Greg Olsen, TE, Miami

At 6-6, 254 pounds, Olsen ran the 40-yard dash in just 4.51. The best tight end prospect in a long time, we doubt if he will last this long, if he does expect the Jets to snap him up.

Other Possibilities: Jarvis Moss, Anthoiny Spencer, Chris Houston, Lawrence Timmons, Michael Bush, Chris Houston

26. Dallas
(from PHI)

Anthony Spencer, LB/DE, Purdue

Second round talent who is getting some love. We would prefer they take an actual linebacker. One dimensional pass rusher. Very strange trade partners as Philly gives their mortal enemies a first round pick in exchange for a 2 a 3 and a 5.

Value: 6

16.596 Brandon Merriweather, FS, Miami (Fl)

Yes, he was in a brawl in college, but he is a Miami player so you get what you pay for. He is a beast at safety and will be an immediate impact player.

Other Possibilities: Jon Beason, Darrelle Revis, Michael Griffin, Sidney Rice, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny

27. New Orleans

Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee

His size physicality, and speed should make him a go to receiver very quickly. The value is tough here, but Sean Payton appears to be building his team in the Rams or Chiefs of Vermeil's style. Defense be damned. A great value at this late in the draft. That offense is getting scary with Colston, Meacham, Brees, and Bush on offense.

Value: 3

10.284 Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas

Houston is a great example of what a great combine can do for a player. He was a beast in the bench press and ran a 4.32 40 at the combine and suddenly he is in the first round. We think they may try to work on defense and take the best available defender, but hey are in a great position being able to take the best player in any position is how great teams are built.  Houston should step right in as their starting weak side linebacker.

Other Possibilities: Aaron Ross, Jon Beason, Lawrence Timmons, DeMarcus "Tank" Tyler

28. San Francisco
(From NWE)

Joe Staley, OT, Michigan

Staley is a former tight end with terrific feet and athleticism who blew scouts away at his Pro Day by running a low 4.8 at over 300 lbs. Will protect Alex Smith for years to come and was rated much higher.

Value: 1

9.992 Michael Griffin, SS, Texas

 They can maybe upgrade at safety or go for some depth at linebacker. The boards seem to be leaning towards safety and Griffin is a playmaker. The Patriots also still need some help at WR as they have lost a lot in recent years.

Other Possibilities: Ted Ginn Jr, Sidney Rice, Darrelle Revis, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny, Anthony Spencer

29. Baltimore

Ben Grubbs, OG, Auburn

Grubbs, arguably the top OG prospect in the entire draft, is a beast with the potential to be a starter for a long time.

Value: 2

12.985 Ben Grubbs, OG, Auburn

Grubbs, arguably the top OG prospect in the entire draft, is a beast with the potential to be a starter for a long time. Another possibility is OLB, where they need a replacement for Adalius Thomas, who left for New England. Grubbs can possibly even start or at a minimum play a lot as a rookie.

Other Possibilities: Ryan Kalil, Joe Staley, Aaron Ross, Justin Blalock, Michael Bush, Lawrence Timmons, Paul Posluszny

30. San Diego

Craig Davis, WR, LSU

Crazy pick for this draft position overall rated as a low second or high third rounder. Major reach with much better receivers on the board. Fast, but that's about it Dwayne Jarrett, Steve Smith and Sidney Rice still on the board. Pick makes no sense in that vain.

Value: 10

23.259 Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida State

The Chargers could go wide receiver here as well if any fall this far, but most of the really great ones are gone. Lawrence Timmons has been ranked as high as the top 20 so we think his slide stops here. The Chargers are becoming adept at picking and developing great linebackers. Timmons is generally considered the better overall long-term prospect at this draft position amongst the linebackers.

Other Possibilities: Michael Griffin, David Harris, Darrelle Revis, Brandon Siler, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meacham, Brandon Merriweather, Sidney Rice, Anthony Gonzalez

31. Chicago

Greg Olsen, TE, Miami

At 6-6, 254 pounds, Olsen ran the 40-yard dash in just 4.51. The best tight end prospect in a long time will make that offense 1000 times better and will protect young Grossman. No one thought there was any way he would last this long.

Value: 1

11.136 Jon Beason, OLB, Miami

When you pick here or at 32, you don't draft for need; you draft the best player available and hope he adds depth. The Bears need to draft for the future on their aging OL and need help at OLB as well, so they will draft whoever they have the highest rated at those two positions. We think that will be  Jon Beason. He is a workout warrior and at 6’0, 237 pounds, Beason has ideal size for a cover two LB.

Other Possibilities: Jon Beason, Tony Ugoh, Joe Staley, Ryan Kalil, Greg Olsen, Dwayne Jarrett

32. Indianapolis

Anthony Gonzalez, WR, Ohio State

Gonzalez is a smart, athletic, high-character receiver that would fit perfectly for their No. 3 role now that Stokley is gone.

Value: 5

16.025 Justin Harrell, DT,  Tennessee

Just like the Bears, the Colts can take whoever they like here, just take the best available player. Harrell is one tough guy who can help to build a defensive identity.

Other Possibilities: Tank Tyler, Eric Wright, Sidney Rice. Lawrence Timmons, Anthony Gonzalez

A look back: 2007 Mock NFL Draft version 1  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 2  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 3 
                      2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 4  2007 Mock NFL Draft Version 5

About the SN DQI rankings

The Draft Quality Index rankings or DQI is a proprietary scientific formula taking into account the draft rankings from over 50 different respected NFL sources.  The sources are not made public and you cannot ask to be included in these sources in order to maintain the integrity of the system.  These rankings are then compared and placed into the database along with over 20 other factors rating each player based on things like 40 time and Wonderlic score, all weighted against past performances of similar NFL players for comparison to come up with a final DQI score.  The DQI score can be viewed most simply with the following breakdown:

1.000-7.500      -  Star NFL player or a cant miss prospect
7.501-15.000    -  Very good NFL career with possibility of developing into a star.  Very small chance of a bust
15.001-22.500  -  Could develop but player has at least one deficiency holding them back.  Good enough to stay in the NFL long term.
22.501-30.000  -  Developmental or specialty player.  May even be a starter but is most likely a specialist such as a pass rusher.  Most draft busts come in this range as teams reach.
30.001-50.000  -  Pure Project Player almost always taken in the second round or later.  When one slips into the first round they are almost always considered a bust.

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