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2005 NFL Computerized Mock Draft from SportzNutz

 SN Exclusive NFL Draft Coverage

Our Computerized Mock 2005 NFL Draft -  This computerized mock draft is compiled using our own experts along with the grades from over 50 NFL draft sites to give the best overall consensus mock on the web. The 2005 NFL Draft will be held on April 23rd and 24th in New York.  Here are our latest rankings on who will go where, along with their DQI rankings.  For more on DQI rankings click here.
(Final Version - April 22, 2005) 

Big changes in this final late night predraft Mock.  All trades accounted for as on 11:59 pm April 22nd

Draft Tracker - Be sure to join us all day Saturday and Sunday for our live draft tracker and draft chats with current and future NFL players all day long both days.

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1. San Francisco - QB Alex Smith , Utah  - DQI 0.794
The 49ers are devoid of a solid quarterback.  Another big rise in DQI as some see him as having more upside than Rodgers, while others see him as a system qb.  The Niners are already locked in negotiations with the agents for quarterback Alex Smith and Braylon Edwards appears to be the current second choice for the 49ers, but who would throw to him?  This is starting to look like a lock.

2. Miami - RB Ronnie Brown , Auburn - DQI 1.750
The Dolphins are talking trade so Browns DQI is getting higher in this spot.  Unless a trade happens, it's looking less likely the Dolphins can simply sign a franchise back. Brown's stock is up and he may be the only need player Miami can draft at this spot unless they can come up with a partner to trade down with.

3. Cleveland - WR Braylon Edwards, Michigan  - DQI 2.244
Braylon Edwards is a playmaker with tremendous athleticism and the ability to be a dominating force in the NFL.  He has moved up the most of anyone in this years draft, I am not sure if that's a reflection on how good he is or the dropping of Mike Williams
  Edwards and Mike Williams keep switching positions on most boards. Cleveland is in as bad or possibly worse ned than SF of a quarterback and Rodgers has the ability to step in and start right away if needed, but they are really enamored of Edwards right now so we will have to see on this one it wouldn't surprise me at all if they took Rodgers here.

4. Chicago - RB Cedric Benson, Texas  - DQI 3.688
The Bears' young defense kept them in games last season and is on the right track. Now to upgrade the offense.  Benson is an absolute workhouse back in true Bears fashion.

5. Tampa Bay - RB Carnell Williams,  Auburn  - DQI 4.017
Gruden wants to trade up for Smith, but the cost is just too high.  I can see a Cadillac in the streets of the Bay area. 

6. Tennessee - CB Antrel Rolle, Miami (FL)  - DQI 4.465
Rolle is a do-everything corner that possesses great size, strength, and instincts.  There are a number of gaping holes that need to be filled on this roster, but none more pressing than at cornerback.  Tennessee's other big need is at Receiver which can be filled later, although it will be hard to pass on Mike Williams should he still be available.

7. Minnesota (from Oak) - WR Mike Williams, USC  - DQI 5.076
 
Williams has more than proved himself in his workouts.   Williams has done everything right in the past couple of months and has solidified himself as a top 5 overall pick with his showings at the Scouting Combine and in his private workout, displaying tremendous character to go along with decent speed, excellent hands and very good route running ability.  A very adequate replacement for Randy Moss and a team player.

8. Arizona - CB Adam Jones, West Virginia   - DQI 5.288
Denny Green wants to win and if past history tells us anything he will build out with skill players on offense.  But everyone he wants is already gone so he will go with a player to complete what could be an awesome  defense.  Look out NFC here come the redbirds.

9. Washington - CB Carlos Rogers, Auburn  - DQI 6.088
A player you can build a secondary around Rogers is the best man to man corner in this draft.   Jones lacks great size (5-9 5/8) but is a big-time playmaker with a confident, winning attitude. He tends to gamble, but his risky decisions usually pay off.  After trading away cornerback Champ Baily and allowing Fred Smoot to leave via free agency this year, the Redskins are in dire need of a No. 1 corner but could consider a pass rusher like Merriman or Erasmus James

10. Detroit - LB Derrick Johnson, Texas  - DQI 6.486
He is the only sure thing in this draft. Johnson is the consensus best defensive prospect and has not only great skill but the best football instincts in a long time.  Can be a defensive anchor.

11. Dallas - LB/DE  Shawne Merriman, Maryland - DQI 7.774
 The Cowboys desperately need to add some pass rush, and Merriman has the size and tenacity to be effective as an outside backer, or can play the line, plus adding a tremendous pass rush. A motor that just wont quit. . He has the ability to provide consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks as a defensive end.  He will be a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate.  He is one of the most ready to step in and play defenders in this draft.

12. San Diego (from NYG) - WR Troy Williamson, South Carolina - DQI 8.521
The Chargers are in one of the best positions in this draft they have very little in the way of team needs and can pick off whoever is best on their boards.  Even though San Diego has a solid group of wideouts with Keenan McCardell, Reche Caldwell and Eric Parker they lack a lot of size and don't have the type of speed needed to stretch the field.  If they don't go WR they will probably go with a defender along the line of Marcus Spears.

13. Houston - OT Alex Barron, FSU - DQI 8.875
Finally the Texans get their QB a chance to breathe.  Barron should be the best on the board and be able to jump into the lineup early for the Texans.  The left tackle position has been a problem since Houston’s first season, and they need to get someone in there that can protect David Carr’s blind side on a consistent basis.

14. Carolina - QB Aaron Rodgers, Cal  - DQI 9.056
He is a very capable quarterback, with solid skills and real star potential.  There has been a big drop in DQI as Rodgers continue to fall.  Smith has the higher upside while Rodgers gives you the best chance to win now.  Carolina has other needs, but there is just no way they can pass up on Rodgers if he falls this far.  You just cant get value like this from the 14 slot.

15. Kansas City- - DE Demarcus Ware, Troy St.   - DQI 10.008
 I have never seen a player move up so fast this late in the draft. 
Ware keeps moving up boards even though he is a vastly undersized defensive end that will either have to move to linebacker in the NFL or play a role as a situational pass rusher. His best fit would be as a rush linebacker in a 3-4 scheme. Ware is somewhat unpolished and he needs to continue to get bigger and stronger. However, his athletic ability, top-end speed and flair for making the big play as a pass rusher and run-defender makes him an attractive prospect.  I think that Gunther Cunningham sees a little bit of Derrick Thomas in Ware.

16. New Orleans - S Thomas Davis, Georgia - DQI 11.921
Thomas Davis had no trouble stopping anyone in the Bulldogs secondary. Davis is a tackling machine, comparable to Roy Williams of the Cowboys and is by many considered to be one of the best LB prospects around.

17. Cincinnati -  DE Erasmus James, Wisconsin - DQI 11.979
 Marvin Lewis made it public that the Bengals must get better on the defensive side of the ball. and James is an every-down, two-way end who plays with great intensity and terrific leverage.  He is a boom-or-bust type player with great skills, but serious injury concerns. But if he can stay healthy, could develop into a perennial Pro Bowl player.

18. Minnesota - DE Marcus Spears, LSU - DQI 12.117
  Spears is a big end who could provide them with versatility along their line.   Spears has prototypical size for a defensive end in a 3-4 defense, and is the best value remaining at a need position after sliding in recent days.

19. St. Louis - OT Jamaal Brown, Oklahoma - DQI 13.202
The Rams must do a better job of protecting Marc Bulger.   Jammal Brown is going to be either a Pro Bowl caliber player, or our of the league in a very short time frame.  Its a chance, but one worth taking. 

20. Dallas (from Buffalo) -  WR Mark Clayton, Oklahoma - DQI 13.539
His quickness, lateral movement skills, speed, body control and hands are what make him such a dangerous receiver as a route runner and after the catch.  He has been moving up boards quickly after a great senior bowl performance and combine.  Clayton, drawing comparisons to Marvin Harrison, is a playmaker who can score from anywhere on the field. He is a bit undersized (5-10 3/8, 193) but shows elite speed, hands and agility.

21. Jacksonville - OT Khalif Barnes - DQI 13.898
University of Washington standout offensive tackle Khalif Barnes casts a big shadow, and presents an imposing obstacle. 
He is also perhaps the fastest linemen in the draft and is gaining momentum heading into the draft.

22. Baltimore - LB Daryl Blackstock, Virginia - DQI 15.003
Oakland moves into position to get a much needed linebacker.  This has been a very active offseason for the Raiders, it may take a year or two for all these changes to jell.

23. Seattle - DE David Pollack, Georgia - DQI 15.025
Moving up the boards quickly, another tweener,
Pollack will never have ideal height or elite speed, but he more than makes up for it with his quickness, motor, instincts, power and relentlessness. He's an absolute terror on the field and a mature, humble leader off the field. There isn't a more competitive or hard working player in this draft class. Pollack could play OLB in a 3-4 but he also could overcome his height limitations and become a playmaking DE in a traditional 4-3 scheme in the NFL.

24. Green Bay - DE Matt Roth, Iowa - DQI 15.896
Roth had an outstanding week at the Senior Bowl where he showed great skill in getting to the quarterback.   Roth plays with nonstop hustle and sometimes gets a little out of control.

25. Washington (from Denver) - QB Jason Campbell, Auburn - DQI 17.385
The Redskins gave up a boatload to get this pick, it really makes very little sense except they appear to think this is  a player that's worth this years third, and next years first and 4th round picks.  That's a lot to give up for this position.  Redskins coaches and scouts had regarded Campbell as on par with Alex Smith of Utah and California's Aaron Rodgers, generally regarded as the top two quarterback prospects. A lengthy film study of Campbell further strengthened Washington's resolve to move on the Auburn quarterback.

26. Oakland (from New York Jets) - CB Fabian Washington - DQI 18.058
Really moving fast up the boards now, Washington was projected as a second rounder but has moved ahead of Browner on most boards.  His 4.25 40 yard has many teams thinking they can teach the technique, but you cant teach speed like that.  A little undersized to be a star in the NFL.

27. Atlanta - DE Dan Cody , DE Oklahoma - DQI 18.989
The Falcons defense was light years better last season than the year before, which some credit must go the offense allowing the defense time to breathe and putting them ahead on the scoreboard instead of behind.  Cody is another one of those tweeners who seem to be all the rage these days.  There are some questions relating to his previous medical problems with depression but if he has overcome them he could be a monster pass rusher used correctly.

28. San Diego - DT Travis Johnson , Florida St. - DQI 19.800
 Johnson possesses great quickness and balance, The highest rated Defensive lineman on many boards.  Can step right into the rotation and make a difference.  The Colts need playmakers on defense and Johnson is the sagest bet after dropping.

29. Indianapolis -  CB Marlin Jackson, Michigan - DQI 20.071
Quick young cornerback is being compared to Charles Woodson although why anyone would want to be is the real question.  Has had some off the field problems helping him slide down a little.  He should be a steal at this spot.  He may have the best overall abilities of all the top CB's available long term.

30. Pittsburgh - TE Heath Miller, Virginia - DQI 20.126
Miller is the only first-round prospect at the position and the Eagles are in a great position to be able to move.  He can step right in as the starter and add another big threat on offense to an improving team.  Had Miller been healthy he would have been a top ten pick.  This may end up being the best value pick of this entire draft.

31. Philadelphia - C Chris Spencer, Madison Central - DQI 20.338
Philly has filled its need at TE through trade so now they get to go after the best center prospect in years.  Spencer in a 24 game collegiate career never allowed a single sack.  This kid is the real deal and while not a flashy pick will be looked back on in years to come as a great late first round pick.

32. New England - DE/DT Shaun Cody, USC - DQI 21.025
Some people rate Cody at tackle, and as a tackle, he lacks the pure bulk and strength to hold up at that position. He would need to bulk up to play tackle.  The Falcons defense was light years better last season than the year before, which some credit must go the offense allowing the defense time to breathe and putting them ahead on the scoreboard instead of behind.

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About the SN DQI rankings

The Draft Quality Index rankings or DQI is a proprietary scientific formula taking into account the draft rankings from over 50 different respected NFL sources.  These rankings are then compared and placed into the database along with over 20 other factors rating each player based on things like 40 time and Wonderlic score, all weighted against past performances of similar NFL players for comparison to come up with a final DQI score.  The DQI score can be viewed most simply with the following breakdown:

1.000-7.500      -  Star NFL player or a cant miss prospect
7.501-15.000    -  Very good NFL career with possibility of developing into a star.  Very small chance of a bust
15.001-22.500  -  Could develop but player has at least one deficiency holding them back.  Good enough to stay in the NFL long term.
22.501-30.000  -  Developmental or specialty player.  May even be a starter but is most likely a specialist such as a pass rusher.  Most draft busts come in this range as teams reach.
30.001-50.000  -  Pure Project Player almost always taken in the second round or later.  When one slips into the first round they are almost always considered a bust.

 

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