|
MLB Roundup
Baseballs
Amazing Statistical Innovator
Guest Author: Shawn Ryder
The 2008 Major League Baseball season is
officially underway, and it is ironic that an obscure statistician from Kansas
is making the news, one who was ridiculed for many years. Today he is a chief
decision-maker for the world champion Boston Red Sox, having gaining notoriety
throughout professional sports - and acceptance to his metrics continues to
grow.
On CBS 60 Minutes, Morley Safer interviewed
Bill James, a baseball writer and historian who has written more than two dozen
books devoted to baseball statistics, highlighting his unique approach - known
as Sabermetrics: the science of why teams win or lose games.
A fair comparison can be made to the retail
auto sales and service industry: It's the numbers, stupid.
Bill James helps the Boston Red Sox decide
which players to keep, who and whey they play and who gets traded-away in the
off-season, in order to improve the team's statistical chances of having a
winning year. He also helps them grow champions. But it wasn't always that way.
Working as a night security guard in Kansas
during the late 1970's, James began studying box scores (arguably similar to an
RO Analysis). He soon published "The Bill James Baseball Abstract" in 1977, by
challenging baseball's typical metrics of what determined a great player. He
argued that it was not wins or losses (for a pitcher), nor hits, home runs nor
batting average.
Instead, he created statistical innovations
(the new metrics) such as:
- Runs Created: Put simply, hits and walks
divided by plate appearances.
- Range Factor: The defensive contribution
of a player, assists and putouts divided by games played.
- Defensive Efficiency Record: The
percentage of balls in play that a defense turns into an out.
- Win Shares: A comparison of players at
different positions.
- Pythagorean Winning Percentage: The
relationship of wins and losses to runs scored and allowed.
- Major League Equivalency - A metric that
uses minor league statistics to determine how a player is likely to perform
in the majors.
For most of his career, Bill James ideas were
either been ignored or rejected by major league baseball teams. Most teams
preferred to follow the maxims that were created decades ago, as well as their
gut instincts.
The Red Sox hired James in 2004. Using his
ideas, they have won two World Championships. In our constantly changing
industry of customer counts and sales and dollars made, perhaps we need to take
a step back and look at new and innovative ways to measure our success, and that
of our people.
In these challenging times, it requires
different thinking along with different processes, to become a world champion.
Think about it.
Who's Hot:
Chipper Jones is batting .444 with a
.611 slugging percentage so far.
Rich Harden in his two starts has a 0.81 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 11
innings
Who's Not:
Jason Giambi is 0-8 with 2 walks
Barry Zito has given up 8 hits in 5 innings with a 7.2 ERA
Team Notes:
A's
Injured Oakland third
baseman Eric Chavez (back/shoulders) needs more time to rehabilitate his
various injuries. The veteran had surgery on both shoulders and his back this
offseason and will be out until at least early May
Blue Jays
Closer B.J. Ryan
threw 21 pitches to a group of minor leaguers on Wednesday. The big lefty, who
is 11 months removed from Tommy John surgery, is now throwing every other day
Mets
Pedro Martinez will
reportedly be sidelined for four to six weeks with a strained hamstring
Padres
Scott Hairston
continues to swing a hot stick, as he picked up three hits in three at-bats to
go along with a walk on Thursday against the Astros.
Reds
Rookie Johnny Cueto
did something on Thursday afternoon against the Diamondbacks that no other Reds
pitcher in the modern era (since 1900) was able to do in their major league
debut. Cueto fanned 10 batters in his first big-league start, allowing only one
hit, a solo home run to Justin Upton
Red Sox
Boston's opening day
starter Daisuke Matsuzaka bounced back from a shaky performance in Japan
against the Athletics to shut down the bats in Oakland in the rematch on
Tuesday. Dice-K likely had some huge butterflies pitching in front of his
countrymen and was a bit shaky all evening long. That was not the case in
Oakland, as he struck out nine batters in a dominant performance to pick up his
first win.
Royals
Floyd's son Brian
Bannister dominated the Tigers on Wednesday, allowing just two hits over
seven shutout innings in a 4-0 win showing that last seasons 12-9 was no fluke
Tigers
Center fielder Curtis
Granderson will reportedly have X-rays taken of his broken hand on the
weekend.
Hot
on SportzNutz MLB:
SN
baseball statistical database
Cheaper and more
convenient than those bulky encyclopedias... the handy SportzNutz baseball
statistical database is here....Download
Yours Now
Information provided in MLB Roundup has been gathered
from A.P. reports, ESPN.com, Sportsline.com, MLB.com and numerous other
e-sources. Opinions expressed are obviously solely the opinions of the
authors and do not reflect those of source material.
About this week's guest
author: Shawn is
affiliated with
http://www.autouniversity.com,
http://www.autouniversity.com/scn/sales_process,
http://www.autouniversity.com/scn/service_process
|